BPCL FY26 Net Profit Surges 75.5%; Nomura, Jefferies Maintain Buy
Bharat Petroleum Corporation Limited reported a 75.5% surge in FY26 net profit to Rs 23,303 crore, supported by inventory gains and improved refinery throughput. Nomura and Jefferies both maintained Buy ratings with target prices of ₹365 and ₹415 respectively, highlighting strong GRMs, attractive valuations, and full-cycle ROE potential, even as marketing margins remain under pressure.

*this image is generated using AI for illustrative purposes only.
Bharat Petroleum Corporation Limited has reported its audited financial results for the fiscal year 2025-26, revealing a significant improvement in annual profitability. The company recorded a profit after tax of Rs 23,303 crore for the year ended March 31, 2026, marking a 75.5% increase compared to Rs 13,275 crore in the previous fiscal year. Profit before tax for the year stood at Rs 31,104 crore, up from Rs 17,664 crore in FY25. For the quarter ended March 31, 2026, the profit after tax was Rs 3,191 crore, compared to Rs 3,214 crore in the corresponding period of the previous year. In conjunction with the results, the company announced that the audio recording of the conference call conducted on May 20, 2026, is available on its website.
Analyst Views
Leading global brokerages have maintained a positive outlook on BPCL following its latest results. Nomura has maintained a Buy rating on the stock with a target price of ₹365, citing strong Q4 Gross Refining Margins (GRMs) aided by higher cracks and inventory gains. The brokerage also highlighted ongoing growth-driving projects despite high capital expenditure intensity, expected earnings recovery in FY28 after a weak FY27, and attractive valuations as key reasons for its stance.
Jefferies has also maintained a Buy rating on BPCL with a target price of ₹415. The brokerage noted an EBITDA beat driven by inventory gains, while flagging that marketing margins remain sharply negative amid high crude premiums, freight costs, and currency depreciation. Jefferies added that BPCL's valuations remain the most attractive among its peers, with strong full-cycle return on equity potential.
| Analyst Coverage | Rating | Target Price |
|---|---|---|
| Nomura | Buy | ₹365 |
| Jefferies | Buy | ₹415 |
Operational Performance
Operational efficiency improved during the fiscal year, with total refinery throughput increasing to 41.15 Million Metric Tonnes (MMT) from 40.51 MMT in FY25. The distillate yield also improved marginally to 84.54% from 84.33% in the previous year. In the marketing segment, total domestic sales of petroleum products rose to 54.18 MMT, up from 52.40 MMT in the prior year, driven by higher volumes in Motor Spirit (MS) and High-Speed Diesel (HSD). The Gross Refining Margin (GRM) for FY26 was $11.74 per barrel before special duties.
| Financial Parameter (Rs in Crores) | FY 2025-26 | FY 2024-25 |
|---|---|---|
| Profit Before Tax | 31,104 | 17,664 |
| Profit After Tax | 23,303 | 13,275 |
| Marketing Inventory Gain/(Loss) | 842 | (905) |
| Forex Fluctuation Gain/(Loss) | (1,644) | (358) |
| Interest Expenditure | 1,634 | 1,888 |
Financial Highlights
The company benefited from a marketing inventory gain of Rs 842 crore during the year, a turnaround from the loss of Rs 905 crore recorded in the preceding year. However, forex fluctuation losses widened to Rs 1,644 crore in FY26 from Rs 358 crore in the previous year, primarily due to crude liability fluctuations. Interest expenditure for the year decreased to Rs 1,634 crore from Rs 1,888 crore in the previous year. The debt position, excluding IND AS 116 liabilities, stood at Rs 10,480 crore as of March 31, 2026.
Operational Metrics
The following table details the operational parameters for the full fiscal year:
| Operational Parameter | Unit | FY 2025-26 | FY 2024-25 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Refinery Throughput | MMT | 41.15 | 40.51 |
| Distillate Yield | % | 84.54% | 84.33% |
| Total Domestic Sales | MMT | 54.18 | 52.40 |
| Total Sales (Domestic + Exports) | MMT | 55.72 | 53.63 |
Historical Stock Returns for Bharat Petroleum
| 1 Day | 5 Days | 1 Month | 6 Months | 1 Year | 5 Years |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| +0.90% | -0.24% | -6.22% | -18.81% | -5.27% | +30.34% |
How will BPCL's high capital expenditure intensity impact its dividend payout and free cash flow generation over the next two to three fiscal years?
Given that marketing margins remain sharply negative due to high crude premiums and currency depreciation, when might the government consider a fuel price revision to restore profitability in the marketing segment?
What specific growth projects are expected to drive BPCL's earnings recovery in FY28, and are there any execution risks that could delay this turnaround?


































