McGraw Hill FY27 sales outlook $2.115B-$2.175B vs est
McGraw Hill reported fiscal year 2026 revenue of $2.1 billion, exceeding IPO expectations, with recurring revenue growing 6% to represent over 73% of total revenue. For fiscal year 2027, the company projects revenue between $2.115 billion and $2.175 billion and adjusted EBITDA between $750 million and $790 million. The company reduced gross debt by $646 million in fiscal year 2026 and announced a $50 million share repurchase plan.

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McGraw Hill reported fiscal year 2026 revenue of $2.1 billion, exceeding IPO expectations, with recurring revenue growing 6% to represent over 73% of total revenue. The company launched eight AI learning tools serving over 7.5 million users and announced plans for three additional tools. For fiscal year 2027, McGraw Hill expects revenue between $2.115 billion and $2.175 billion, with adjusted EBITDA guidance set to grow to a range of $750 million to $790 million. The company reduced gross debt by $646 million in fiscal year 2026 and announced a $50 million share repurchase plan.
Fourth-quarter revenue was $464 million, down 2% year-over-year, reflecting a smaller K12 market opportunity partially offset by continued outperformance in higher education. Recurring revenue totaled $373 million while digital revenue reached $393 million, representing 81% and 85% of total revenue respectively. Fiscal year adjusted EBITDA was $744 million, up 2% year-over-year, with margin expanding nearly 80 basis points to 35.4%. The company highlighted significant investments in literacy curriculum, viewing the science of reading as a major growth area.
Financial Highlights
| Metric | Fiscal Year 2026 | Fiscal Year 2027 Guidance |
|---|---|---|
| Revenue | $2.1 billion | $2.115 billion - $2.175 billion |
| Recurring Revenue | $1.5 billion | $1.587 billion - $1.607 billion |
| Adjusted EBITDA | $744 million | $750 million - $790 million |
| Adjusted EBITDA Margin | 35.4% | 35.9% (midpoint) |
| Unlevered Free Cash Flow | $335 million | ~$400 million |
Strategic Developments
Management emphasized the strategic use of AI in education, noting the development of agentic AI tools and partnerships aimed at expanding McGraw Hill's reach beyond traditional education markets. The company is piloting a new agentic AI tool to make its precision education experience accessible as a trusted AI agent. In higher education, fiscal year revenue grew 12% year-over-year to $879 million, driven by market share gains approaching 31%.
Challenges in the K12 market were noted, particularly with the slower-than-anticipated adoption of the California math curriculum, though long-term opportunities in literacy were emphasized. The company has invested over $100 million in its new Science of Reading ELA program, Emerge, Summit and Soar. McGraw Hill remains focused on achieving a net leverage target of two to two and a half times.
How will the rollout of the three additional AI tools impact user retention and monetization in fiscal 2027?
What strategies are being employed to accelerate the adoption of the California math curriculum and mitigate K12 market headwinds?
Will the $50 million share repurchase plan be expanded given the significant debt reduction and positive free cash flow outlook?

























