Citi Upgrades AAVAS Financiers Target to ₹2,100 Following Strong Q4FY26 Performance
AAVAS Financiers receives positive research coverage with Citi upgrading target price to ₹2,100 and Jefferies maintaining ₹1,875 target. The company reported strong Q4FY26 performance with 16% YoY disbursement growth, 15% AUM expansion to ₹235bn, and improved asset quality metrics including 1+DPD at 3.17% and Gross Stage 3 at 1.07%. Citi projects benign credit costs of 10-12bps and expects RoA/RoE of 3.6%/14.9%, while noting potential margin pressure from PLR cuts.

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AAVAS Financiers Limited has received positive coverage from leading research houses, with Citi upgrading its target price to ₹2,100 while maintaining a Buy rating, and Jefferies setting a target of ₹1,875. The housing finance company's strong Q4FY26 performance demonstrated robust operational metrics, improved asset quality, and sustained growth momentum across key business parameters.
Research House Coverage and Valuations
Citi has upgraded its target price for AAVAS Financiers to ₹2,100 while maintaining its Buy recommendation, citing strong operational performance and improved financial metrics. The research firm highlighted the company's 16% year-on-year disbursement growth and 15% AUM expansion as key positive factors. Jefferies also maintains its positive stance with a target price of ₹1,875, noting the company's reasonable valuations at 1.5x FY27E P/B ratio.
| Research Coverage: | Citi | Jefferies |
|---|---|---|
| Rating: | Buy | Buy |
| Target Price: | ₹2,100 | ₹1,875 |
| Key Highlights: | 16% YoY disbursement growth | 1.5x FY27E P/B valuation |
Strong Asset Growth and Disbursement Performance
The company's financial performance for Q4FY26 and FY26 reflects sustained growth momentum across key business metrics. Citi specifically noted the 16% year-on-year disbursement growth and 15% AUM expansion as indicators of the company's strong market position.
| Parameter: | Period | Value | Growth |
|---|---|---|---|
| AUM: | March 31, 2026 | ₹235bn | +15% YoY |
| Disbursement: | Q4FY26 | ₹23.5bn | +16% YoY, +36% QoQ |
| Incremental Borrowings: | Q4FY26 | ₹20.6bn | - |
| Liquidity Position: | March 31, 2026 | ₹31.9bn | - |
The Assets Under Management reaching ₹235bn represents healthy growth, indicating the company's continued market penetration in the housing finance sector. The disbursement performance shows particularly strong momentum with robust annual and quarterly growth rates.
Improved Asset Quality and Financial Projections
AAVAS Financiers demonstrated significant improvement in asset quality parameters, with Citi noting the improved metrics in its analysis. The research firm projects benign credit costs of 10-12 basis points and expects Return on Assets (RoA) of 3.6% and Return on Equity (RoE) of 14.9%.
| Asset Quality Metric: | Latest Figures | Improvement |
|---|---|---|
| 1+ DPD: | 3.17% | Improved QoQ |
| Gross Stage 3: | 1.07% | 12 bps QoQ improvement |
| Expected Credit Costs: | 10-12 bps | Benign levels |
| Projected RoA/RoE: | 3.6%/14.9% | Strong profitability metrics |
The reduction in 1+ Days Past Due (DPD) to 3.17% and Gross Stage 3 assets at 1.07% reflects the company's effective risk management practices and enhanced collection efficiency.
Business Expansion and Potential Challenges
The company continued its geographical expansion strategy by adding 31 new branches during Q4FY26, bringing the total branch count to 435 as of March 31, 2026. However, Citi noted that PLR (Prime Lending Rate) cuts may compress spreads by 8-10 basis points quarter-on-quarter, which could impact margins in the near term.
| Business Metrics: | Q4FY26 | Details |
|---|---|---|
| New Branches Added: | 31 | Q4FY26 expansion |
| Total Branch Count: | 435 | As of March 31, 2026 |
| Incremental Securitized Portfolio: | ₹4.7bn | Direct Assignment loans |
| ICRA AAA (SO) rated PTCs: | ₹5bn | Successfully placed in March 2026 |
| Potential Spread Impact: | 8-10 bps QoQ | Due to PLR cuts |
The securitization activities and successful placement of ₹5bn ICRA AAA (SO) rated Pass Through Certificates demonstrate the company's diversified funding approach and market confidence in its asset quality. AAVAS Financiers also received credit rating upgrades from both CARE and ICRA, with outlook revised from Stable to Positive while maintaining the AA credit rating.
Historical Stock Returns for Aavas Financiers
| 1 Day | 5 Days | 1 Month | 6 Months | 1 Year | 5 Years |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| +0.39% | +0.27% | -11.43% | -30.48% | -45.42% | -52.91% |
How will the anticipated PLR cuts affecting 8-10 bps spread compression impact AAVAS's ability to maintain its projected 14.9% RoE in upcoming quarters?
What market share gains could AAVAS achieve in the housing finance sector given its aggressive branch expansion to 435 locations and strong disbursement momentum?
Will AAVAS's successful ₹5bn PTC placement and credit rating upgrades enable more competitive funding costs to offset potential margin pressures?


































