Prabhudas Lilladher Maintains Buy Rating on Federal Bank with Revised Target Price of ₹275
Prabhudas Lilladher maintains Buy rating on Federal Bank with raised target price of ₹275 from ₹250, following strong quarterly results showing 4.2% NII beat and NIM rising to 3.18% seven-quarter high. The brokerage increased core PAT estimates for FY27/28E by 4.0% average, citing organic NIM growth from reduced cost liabilities and better investment yields, while noting good progress in asset calibration across CASA, business banking and gold segments.

*this image is generated using AI for illustrative purposes only.
Federal bank has received a maintained Buy rating from Prabhudas Lilladher, with the brokerage firm raising its target price to ₹275 from the previous ₹250, reflecting confidence in the bank's strong operational performance and improving financial metrics.
Strong Quarterly Performance Drives Optimism
The bank delivered an impressive quarterly performance with a 4.2% beat on Net Interest Income (NII), demonstrating robust operational efficiency. The standout metric was the Net Interest Margin (NIM) which rose by 12 basis points quarter-on-quarter to reach 3.18%, marking a seven-quarter high despite the repo rate cut implemented in December.
| Performance Metric | Details |
|---|---|
| NII Beat | 4.2% above expectations |
| NIM (Current Quarter) | 3.18% |
| NIM Change (QoQ) | +12 basis points |
| Performance Period | Seven-quarter high |
Organic Growth Factors Support NIM Expansion
The improvement in NIM was attributed to organic factors rather than external market conditions. The brokerage identified four key drivers behind this positive development:
- Fall in higher cost liabilities
- Reducing share of interest-bearing liabilities
- Better investment yield performance
- Benefits from the CRR (Cash Reserve Ratio) cut
Based on these positive surprises and superior balance sheet mix, Prabhudas Lilladher has raised its NIM projections by 5 basis points each for FY27 and FY28 estimates.
Asset Quality and Business Mix Improvements
The bank's asset calibration strategy is progressing effectively, with good growth observed across multiple segments during Q3FY26. The Current Account and Savings Account (CASA), Business Banking, and gold loan portfolios all demonstrated healthy expansion. Corporate lending accretion remained robust while maintaining focus on mid-corporate segments, ensuring that growth did not dilute the NIM performance.
Revised Financial Projections and Valuation
The brokerage has updated its financial projections based on the strong performance indicators:
| Projection Updates | Details |
|---|---|
| Core PAT Revision (FY27/28E) | +4.0% average increase |
| Core RoA Target (FY28E) | 1.2% |
| Valuation Multiple | 1.4x |
| Target Price | ₹275 (from ₹250) |
| Rating | Buy (maintained) |
The target price revision reflects the rolling forward to March 2028 Adjusted Book Value (ABV) with an increased multiple of 1.4x, up from the previous valuation framework. This adjustment is based on the improved core Return on Assets (RoA) projection of 1.2% for FY28E.
Key Monitoring Areas
While maintaining an optimistic outlook, Prabhudas Lilladher has identified specific areas requiring continued monitoring. The brokerage remains watchful of operational expenses (opex) trends and the bank's transition to Expected Credit Loss (ECL) methodology, which could impact future financial performance and risk management practices.
Historical Stock Returns for Federal Bank
| 1 Day | 5 Days | 1 Month | 6 Months | 1 Year | 5 Years |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| +3.50% | +9.56% | +6.67% | +30.28% | +43.13% | +290.64% |
















































