Meesho Shares Decline 3% as BofA Securities Sets ₹190 Price Target with Neutral Rating
Meesho shares fell 3% on Monday as BofA Securities initiated neutral coverage with ₹190 price target. The brokerage projects 26% NMV CAGR between FY26-FY29 and expects EBITDA margin to turn positive by FY29. Despite recent corrections and 9% decline in 2026, the stock remains 50% above its ₹111 IPO price, supported by growth opportunities in market share expansion, fintech scaling, and grocery segment entry.

*this image is generated using AI for illustrative purposes only.
Meesho shares extended their decline on Monday, January 12, falling 3% as the newly-listed e-commerce company faced continued market volatility. The stock traded at ₹165.50, reflecting investor caution following mixed trading sessions in recent days.
BofA Securities Initiates Coverage
BofA Securities launched coverage of Meesho with a neutral rating and established a price target of ₹190 per share. The brokerage highlighted the company's strategic positioning in the value-focused mass market segment as a key strength.
| Rating Details: | Information |
|---|---|
| Brokerage: | BofA Securities |
| Rating: | Neutral |
| Price Target: | ₹190 per share |
| Current Price: | ₹165.50 |
| Upside Potential: | 14.8% |
Growth Projections and Financial Outlook
BofA Securities presented optimistic projections for Meesho's operational metrics. The brokerage expects the company's net merchandise value (NMV) to grow at a compound annual growth rate of 26% between FY26 and FY29.
The financial trajectory shows significant improvement potential, with adjusted EBITDA margin projected to shift from negative 3% in FY26 to positive 3% by FY29. This turnaround reflects the company's path toward profitability as it scales operations.
| Financial Projections: | FY26 | FY29 |
|---|---|---|
| NMV CAGR: | 26% (FY26-FY29) | - |
| Adjusted EBITDA Margin: | -3% | +3% |
Market Position and Growth Drivers
BofA Securities identified several key tailwinds supporting Meesho's growth prospects:
- Market Share Expansion: Opportunities to capture larger portions of the e-commerce market
- Fintech Business Scale-up: Growth potential in financial services offerings
- Grocery Segment Entry: Expansion into the grocery delivery market
The brokerage noted that current valuation levels appropriately reflect the company's strong fundamental position in the competitive e-commerce landscape.
Share Unlock and Analyst Sentiment
Meesho recently experienced the expiry of its one-month shareholder lock-in period, making approximately 109.9 million shares eligible for trading. These shares represent nearly 2% of the company's outstanding equity, though their availability doesn't guarantee immediate market sales.
Analyst coverage remains mixed but generally positive, with three of five analysts maintaining buy ratings, while one each assigned hold and sell recommendations.
Stock Performance Analysis
| Performance Metrics: | Value |
|---|---|
| IPO Price: | ₹111 |
| Current Price: | ₹165.50 |
| Post-listing Peak: | ₹254 |
| Gain from IPO: | ~50% |
| Decline from Peak: | ~35% |
| 2026 Performance: | -9% |
Despite recent volatility, Meesho shares continue trading substantially above their IPO price of ₹111, maintaining approximately 50% gains for investors who participated in the initial offering. However, the stock has retreated about 35% from its post-listing peak of ₹254 and declined close to 9% in 2026.









































