Indian IT Firms Secure Record Mega Deals in Q3 Amid AI-Driven Transformation Push

3 min read     Updated on 26 Jan 2026, 05:35 AM
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Overview

Indian IT firms Cognizant, TCS, and Infosys secured three mega deals in Q3—the highest in nine quarters—driven by AI infrastructure transformation demand. Key wins include Cognizant's $1 billion Novartis contract and Infosys's $1.6 billion NHS deal. HCLTech reported $146 million in advanced AI revenue with 19.9% sequential growth, while TCS achieved $1.8 billion in annualized AI revenue. However, analysts note this reflects vendor consolidation rather than traditional outsourcing growth, with margin pressures expected to continue despite the revenue surge.

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*this image is generated using AI for illustrative purposes only.

Indian IT services companies experienced their strongest quarter for mega deals in over two years, with three major contracts secured during October-December by leading firms Cognizant Technology Solutions, Tata Consultancy Services, and Infosys. This represents the highest number of mega deals in nine quarters, signaling a potential shift in the global IT services landscape driven by artificial intelligence transformation initiatives.

Major Contract Wins Drive Q3 Performance

The quarter's standout deals demonstrate the growing demand for AI-enabled infrastructure transformation services:

Company Deal Details Value Client
Cognizant AI-led services, data and application management $1 billion Novartis (Switzerland)
Infosys 15-year IT modernization contract $1.6 billion NHS (UK)
TCS Mega deal (details undisclosed) Not disclosed North American financial institution

Cognizant's contract with pharmaceutical giant Novartis will see the New Jersey-based, India-staffed IT outsourcer manage comprehensive AI-led services. Meanwhile, Infosys secured its NHS contract in October, marking a significant win in the healthcare sector. TCS announced its North American financial services deal during post-earnings analyst calls but did not disclose the client's identity or contract value.

AI Revenue Growth Accelerates Across Platforms

The surge in mega deals coincides with robust AI revenue growth across major IT firms. HCLTech reported advanced AI revenue of $146 million, representing 19.9% sequential growth in constant currency terms during the December quarter. The company's advanced AI portfolio encompasses Agentic AI, physical AI, robotics, and large-scale data centers.

TCS concluded the year with $1.8 billion in annualized AI revenue, with Generative AI emerging as its fastest-growing vertical, achieving 17.3% quarterly growth in constant currency. The company outlined a comprehensive two-pronged AI strategy during analyst calls:

  • 'Get AI ready': Partnering with clients to build enterprise technology foundations for AI transformation
  • 'Lead with AI': Engaging business and technology teams to establish competitive AI advantages

Vendor Consolidation Drives Deal Structure

Industry analysts emphasize that the current mega deal trend reflects strategic vendor consolidation rather than traditional labor-heavy outsourcing growth. "It signals a clear shift back toward platform scale transformation deals, not a return to labour-heavy outsourcing," said Phil Fersht, chief executive of HFS Research. "Large enterprises are consolidating vendors and committing to multi-year programs that combine technology modernization, AI enablement, and operating model change."

Ashutosh Sharma, vice-president and research director at Forrester, noted that "most of these mega deals are increasing because IT vendors are going after consolidation deals. They are promising more productivity by lowering their pricing to transform the clients' IT infrastructure."

Historical Context and Market Recovery

The recent surge follows a significant lull in mega deal activity during 2024. The last comparable period was July-September 2023, when companies secured similar numbers of large contracts—TCS and HCL Tech won one each, while Infosys secured two deals. Other notable recent wins include:

  • Coforge: $1.56 billion contract in March (largest in company history)
  • TCS: $2.5 billion, 15-year Aviva modernization deal (January 2024)

Margin Pressures and Investment Challenges

Despite revenue growth, mega deals present margin challenges due to substantial upfront investments in talent, infrastructure, and IT hardware. Historical performance data reveals mixed margin impacts:

Company FY24 Operating Margin Change
TCS 24.6% +50 basis points
Infosys 20.7% -30 basis points
HCLTech 18.2% Unchanged

Analysts expect continued margin pressure as traditional IT services face pricing compression, though new AI-platform services may offer better profitability prospects. "Traditional IT services like coding, application management, and call centre support will shrink in margins. These will be offset by new services led by AI platforms that are not low in margin," Sharma explained.

The mega deal resurgence occurs amid broader challenges including global trade uncertainty, stricter US visa scrutiny, and geopolitical tensions, suggesting that AI-driven transformation represents a critical growth avenue for Indian IT services companies navigating an evolving market landscape.

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Foreign Funds Return to Indian IT Stocks as AI Revenue Growth Attracts Global Investors

2 min read     Updated on 21 Jan 2026, 08:23 AM
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Overview

Foreign investors purchased Indian IT stocks worth ₹4,500 crores in December 2024's final fortnight, ending months of absence since May. TCS and HCL Technologies reported strong AI revenue growth of 17% and 20% respectively for the December quarter, driving renewed confidence. However, mixed quarterly results with six major IT firms missing consensus estimates present near-term challenges, while long-term AI opportunities and weakening rupee support sector recovery prospects.

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*this image is generated using AI for illustrative purposes only.

Global money managers are returning to Indian software exporters after months of cautious approach, driven by companies' strategic pivot toward artificial intelligence capabilities. Foreign institutional investors purchased information technology stocks worth ₹4,500 crores in the fortnight ending December 31, 2024, marking the first significant buying since May, according to data from National Securities Depository Ltd.

AI Revenue Growth Drives Investor Confidence

The renewed investor interest stems from impressive AI revenue growth demonstrated by leading Indian IT companies during the December quarter. Major software exporters have shown substantial progress in monetizing their artificial intelligence investments:

Company AI Revenue Growth Period
Tata Consultancy Services 17% Quarter-on-quarter (Dec quarter)
HCL Technologies 20% Quarter-on-quarter (Dec quarter)

"Confidence around business visibility is much higher, and that gives us comfort," said Aishvarya Dadheech, founder and chief investment officer at Fident Asset Management. "The sector is now in a sweet spot, and we see this as a tradable opportunity."

Market Performance and Sector Outlook

The foreign buying has proven well-timed, as the NSE gauge of technology stocks is positioned for its best monthly performance against the benchmark Nifty 50 since November 2024. Analysts project improved growth momentum for the sector, with topline growth for Nifty IT Index components expected to accelerate to 8.70% in the fourth quarter from 6.80% projected for the October-December period.

Mixed Quarterly Results Present Challenges

Despite the AI-driven optimism, the sector faces near-term headwinds. Profits at India's six largest IT firms fell short of consensus estimates for the three months through December, as companies adjusted costs to comply with new labor regulations. Several major players experienced significant stock movements following disappointing results:

  • Wipro Ltd. saw shares plunge 8% after reporting 9% decline in deal wins compared to the previous year
  • LTIMindtree Ltd. experienced stock decline after third-quarter profits missed analyst estimates

Strategic AI Implementation Across the Sector

IT companies are demonstrating a unified approach to artificial intelligence integration, moving beyond pilot programs toward commercial implementation. From industry leaders to mid-tier firms like LTIMindtree, companies are focusing on embedding generative AI into delivery platforms and employee workflows while prioritizing efficiency-driven use cases over standalone AI offerings.

"With meaningful divergence in growth outlook of IT firms, a bottom-up approach is more suitable," analysts led by Akshat Agarwal at Jefferies Financial Group wrote. The brokerage maintains preference for Infosys and HCL Technologies among large-cap firms, Coforge Ltd. and Mphasis Ltd. among mid-caps, and Sagility Ltd. and Inventurus Knowledge Solutions Ltd. among small-caps.

Favorable Market Conditions Support Recovery

Beyond AI opportunities, software exporters benefit from a weakening rupee, which enhances their export competitiveness. The technology sector, representing nearly 11% of the Nifty 50 index, stands positioned to benefit from anticipated pickup in AI-related client spending.

"All big companies trailing estimates were a surprise, but operational performance and the AI opportunity are strong enough to revive hopes for the sector," said Karthick Jonagadla, founder of Mumbai-based Quantace Research & Capital Pvt. The combination of AI revenue growth and favorable currency conditions suggests potential for sustained recovery in the Indian IT sector.

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