India's Centre-State Dynamics Impact Public Welfare: Analysis Reveals ₹25 Trillion Transfer Challenges
India's public welfare delivery system faces challenges due to evolving centre-state dynamics, particularly in Centrally Sponsored Schemes (CSS). Total transfers from centre to states are expected to exceed ₹25 trillion in FY26, with CSS accounting for 20%. Implementation conflicts, rigid structures, and unspent funds of about ₹1.60 trillion are major issues. States' autonomy in spending is declining, with devolution share reducing despite increased allocation. Finance Commissions warn that excessive reliance on conditional transfers may undermine fiscal federalism, potentially reducing overall welfare outcomes.

*this image is generated using AI for illustrative purposes only.
India's public welfare delivery system is experiencing significant strain due to evolving centre-state dynamics, with Centrally Sponsored Schemes creating implementation challenges that affect program effectiveness across the country.
Financial Scale of Centre-State Transfers
A recent analysis reveals the magnitude of financial flows between centre and states, demonstrating the scale of this challenge. In FY26, total transfers are expected to exceed ₹25.00 trillion, distributed across different categories:
| Transfer Type | Share | Description |
|---|---|---|
| Devolution | 55% | States' share of central taxes |
| Centrally Sponsored Schemes | 20% | Conditional program funding |
| Other Transfers | 25% | Finance Commission grants, loans |
Centrally Sponsored Schemes include flagship programs such as PM Awas Yojana, Samagra Shiksha, National Health Mission, and MGNREGA. These programs typically follow a 60:40 funding ratio between centre and states, though variations exist for Northeastern and Himalayan states.
Implementation Conflicts and Rigid Structures
The highly centralised nature of CSS has generated friction between different levels of government. A notable example involves Kerala's rejection of the PM SHRI (Pradhan Mantri Schools for Rising India) scheme, which the state believed was redundant given its existing educational standards. The centre responded by pausing over ₹1,000.00 crore of Samagra Shiksha Abhiyan funds, leading to legal proceedings.
Structural flaws within schemes compound these challenges. The Pradhan Mantri Awas Yojana continues using beneficiary data from the 2011 census, preventing states from adding families who have fallen into poverty or removing those who have improved their economic status over the past decade.
Unspent Funds and Coordination Issues
Despite the scale of funding, utilisation remains problematic. The analysis highlights that approximately ₹1.60 trillion of CSS funds were lying unspent due to rigid implementation rules. This situation creates a paradox where substantial resources remain idle while pressing local requirements go unaddressed.
States cannot repurpose these unused funds for other developmental needs, exacerbating the friction between centre and states in public welfare program implementation.
Declining State Autonomy in Spending
The composition of transfers reveals a concerning trend for state autonomy. While devolution represents the only untied portion of transfers, allowing states complete discretion over spending decisions, its relative share has declined over time. Despite the 14th Finance Commission increasing states' share of divisible taxes from 32% to 42%, states continue receiving only 30-35% of total central tax collections.
| Financial Constraint | Impact on States |
|---|---|
| Growing Cesses/Surcharges | Reduced share of central revenue |
| No Income Tax Authority | Limited revenue generation options |
| Minimal GST Rate Control | Restricted tax policy flexibility |
| Fixed Budget Commitments | Large portions allocated to salaries, pensions, interest |
Implications for Fiscal Federalism
Both the 14th and 15th Finance Commissions have warned that excessive reliance on conditional transfers risks undermining fiscal federalism foundations. States, being closest to citizens' needs, have historically demonstrated innovation in social programs, with successful initiatives like MGNREGA and Midday Meal Scheme originating at state level before national adoption.
The current system's rigidity prevents states from tailoring programs to local realities, potentially reducing overall welfare outcomes. In a diverse country like India, empowering states with greater implementation flexibility could enhance both administrative efficiency and program effectiveness, moving beyond the current approach of multiplying schemes without addressing fundamental structural constraints.


















