ICICI Securities Maintains BUY Rating on ICICI Lombard General Insurance with ₹2,250 Target Price
ICICI Securities maintains its BUY rating on ICICI Lombard General Insurance Company with an unchanged target price of ₹2,250, based on strong earnings growth of 25.4% between FY22-25 and 11.3% YoY growth in 9MFY26. The brokerage rolled forward its valuation to 28x FY28E EPS of ₹79.4, citing the company's 16% five-year earnings CAGR as evidence of strong compounding potential. While acknowledging cyclical sectoral challenges including lower motor growth and higher loss ratios, the outlook remains positive driven by improving growth trends and GST cuts.

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ICICI Lombard General Insurance has received a maintained BUY rating from ICICI Securities, with the brokerage keeping its target price unchanged at ₹2,250. The recommendation comes on the back of strong financial performance and growth prospects despite facing some sectoral headwinds.
Strong Earnings Performance
The insurance company has demonstrated impressive financial growth across multiple timeframes. The company's earnings performance highlights its consistent growth trajectory and operational efficiency.
| Performance Metric: | Growth Rate |
|---|---|
| FY22-25 Earnings Growth: | 25.4% |
| 9MFY26 YoY Growth: | 11.3% |
| 9MFY26 Growth (ex-capital gains): | 7.5% |
| 5-Year Earnings CAGR: | 16% |
Valuation and Target Price Methodology
ICICI Securities has rolled forward its valuation methodology while maintaining the same target price. The revised approach reflects updated earnings expectations and market conditions.
| Valuation Parameter: | Current | Previous |
|---|---|---|
| Target Price: | ₹2,250 | ₹2,250 |
| Valuation Multiple: | 28x FY28E | 32x FY27E |
| EPS Estimate: | ₹79.4 | ₹70.3 |
The brokerage has adjusted its earnings estimates, implementing approximately 2-3% cuts in FY26 and FY27 projections. These revisions account for higher combined operating ratios and the natural lag between premium growth and earnings growth, excluding labour code costs.
Sectoral Challenges and Outlook
While acknowledging current sectoral challenges, ICICI Securities views these as cyclical rather than structural issues. The motor insurance segment has experienced lower growth rates and elevated loss ratios, impacting overall sector performance.
However, the outlook appears more optimistic for the near term:
- Motor growth trends showing signs of improvement
- GST cuts expected to drive better growth prospects
- Cyclical nature of current challenges suggests potential recovery
The brokerage emphasizes that the company's 16% earnings CAGR over five years demonstrates significant compounding potential, justifying a premium valuation multiple. Higher growth expectations serve as the primary driver for the improved FY28 earnings projections, supporting the maintained BUY recommendation despite near-term headwinds.
Historical Stock Returns for ICICI Lombard General Insurance
| 1 Day | 5 Days | 1 Month | 6 Months | 1 Year | 5 Years |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| +0.78% | -0.60% | -3.40% | -4.36% | -1.21% | +23.71% |
















































