Choice Institutional Equities Maintains BUY Rating on JK Cement with ₹7,200 Target Price
Choice Institutional Equities maintains BUY rating on JK Cement with ₹7,200 target price, supported by five key investment pillars including sector tailwinds, capacity expansion to 36+ Mnt by FY27 from current 28.7 Mnt, green power adoption targeting 75% by FY30, and disciplined leverage strategy. The brokerage projects ROCE expansion of 495 basis points over FY25-28E, from 11.2% to 16.1%, using EV/CE valuation framework with 3.7x multiples for FY27E/FY28E.

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Choice Institutional Equities has reaffirmed its positive stance on JK Cement , maintaining a BUY rating with a target price of ₹7,200 per share. The brokerage's recommendation is supported by a comprehensive investment thesis centered on sector fundamentals and company-specific growth drivers.
Investment Thesis and Key Growth Drivers
The brokerage has outlined five key pillars supporting its investment recommendation:
| Investment Pillar | Details |
|---|---|
| Sector Tailwinds | Better demand and healthy pricing heading into Q4 and FY27 |
| Capacity Expansion | On track to reach 36+ Mnt by FY27 end from 28.7 Mnt as of December 2025 |
| Cost Efficiency | Increasing green power adoption, targeting 75% by FY30 |
| Financial Discipline | Net debt to EBITDA maintained well below 2x |
| ROCE Expansion | Expected improvement of 495 basis points over FY25-28E |
Capacity Expansion and Operational Efficiency
JK Cement's capacity expansion plan remains on track, with the company positioned to achieve over 36 million tonnes by the end of FY27, representing significant growth from the current capacity of 28.7 million tonnes as of December 2025. The company's commitment to cost-efficiency is demonstrated through its strategic focus on green power adoption, with an ambitious target of achieving 75% green power utilization by FY30.
Financial Performance Projections
Choice Institutional Equities expects substantial improvement in return metrics, projecting ROCE expansion of approximately 495 basis points over the FY25-28E period. The analysis indicates ROCE growth from 11.2% in FY25 to 16.1% in FY28E under reasonable operational assumptions.
Valuation Framework and Target Price
The brokerage employs a robust Enterprise Value to Capital Employed (EV/CE) based valuation framework for its price target determination:
| Valuation Metrics | FY27E | FY28E |
|---|---|---|
| EV/CE Multiple | 3.7x | 3.7x |
| Target ROCE | - | 16.1% |
| Current ROCE (FY25) | 11.2% | - |
At the target price of ₹7,200, the implied valuation multiples for FY28E are:
| Multiple Type | FY28E Implied Value |
|---|---|
| EV/EBITDA | 17.3x |
| Price-to-Book | 5.5x |
| Price-to-Earnings | 31.2x |
Choice Institutional Equities considers the assigned EV/CE multiple of 3.7x conservative, given the expected expansion in return on capital employed. The firm conducted sanity checks using implied EV/EBITDA, P/BV, and P/E multiples to validate the target price methodology.
Sector Outlook and Company Positioning
The positive outlook is supported by anticipated cement sector tailwinds, including improved demand dynamics and healthy pricing environment expected to continue into Q4 and FY27. JK Cement's disciplined approach to leverage management, maintaining net debt to EBITDA ratios well below 2x, positions the company favorably for sustained growth while managing financial risk effectively.
Historical Stock Returns for JK Cement
| 1 Day | 5 Days | 1 Month | 6 Months | 1 Year | 5 Years |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| +1.84% | +5.29% | +8.71% | -9.33% | +30.83% | +172.24% |













































