Large caps offer better risk-reward than small caps, says Aditya Birla Sun Life AMC's Harish Krishnan
Harish Krishnan from Aditya Birla Sun Life AMC advocates for large-cap stocks over small caps, citing better risk-reward due to overcrowding in smaller companies. He highlights consumption, IT services, and materials as key sectors for the next 12-18 months, while noting that 23% of mutual fund assets are in small caps despite them representing only 11% of profit pools. Krishnan expects equities to outperform gold medium-term and sees selective opportunities in consumer-focused small-cap names.

*this image is generated using AI for illustrative purposes only.
Harish Krishnan, Co-CIO and Head of Equity at Aditya Birla Sun Life AMC , believes large-cap stocks currently offer better risk-reward than mid and small caps due to sector trends and fund flows. The fund house manages $3.34 billion in assets as of November 30, 2025.
Market Leadership Shift
Krishnan observes that market leadership is shifting as investors move from business-to-business sectors to consumption-led themes. He expects several sectors that lagged in the last three to four years could lead the next cycle, including banks, IT services, metals, cement, textiles, chemicals, fast-moving consumer goods (FMCG), oil and gas, and energy. Most of these sectors have higher weight in large-cap stocks.
Small Cap Overcrowding Concerns
The fund manager highlights significant overcrowding in small caps, describing it as "a bus which is significantly overcrowded." The data reveals a notable imbalance in the market:
| Parameter | Percentage |
|---|---|
| Indian mutual fund industry assets in small caps | 23.00% |
| Small caps' share of total profit pools | 11.00% |
"As a result, the risk-reward is still with the larger companies at this point of time," Krishnan explains.
Key Sector Opportunities
Krishnan identifies three sectors that stand out over the next 12 to 18 months:
Consumption: Government tax measures and monetary support are helping demand, while companies shift focus from margins to volumes. Many FMCG companies have lowered margin guidance and are using cash flows for small acquisitions to support growth.
IT Services: Despite concerns around artificial intelligence, expectations remain low. IT firms are likely to benefit as companies use their services to adopt AI, with currency levels also supporting the sector.
Materials: This includes chemicals and building materials, where recent capital expenditure has not yet translated into revenues.
Investment Strategy and Outlook
Krishnan maintains a positive outlook on metals after strong performance in 2025. He notes that FMCG stocks remain under-owned due to valuation concerns, but many companies are generating steady cash flows and focusing on volume growth. His team prefers niche personal care and food companies, where the impact of quick-commerce competition is lower.
The fund manager sees opportunity in consumer durables, where revenue pools are large but margins remain low. He points out that valuations in business-to-consumer durable companies have fallen sharply over the last five years, while business-to-business companies have seen valuation expansion.
Equities vs Gold Perspective
Krishnan expects equities to outperform gold over the medium term, even amid global uncertainty. He references past periods such as the global financial crisis and the COVID-19 pandemic, when equities in gold terms bottomed out during peak fear. "From a medium-term perspective, it makes sense to allocate more to equities," he states.
Selective Small Cap Approach
While acknowledging that market weakness is largely due to investor caution and profit-taking in mid and small caps, Krishnan believes selective opportunities still exist. His team is buying consumer-focused small-cap stocks in materials and consumer durables that generate steady cash flows and have completed major capital spending. He emphasizes that "the nature of winners will be very different" and investors need a fresh approach rather than relying on stocks that led the previous cycle.
Historical Stock Returns for Aditya Birla Sun Life AMC
| 1 Day | 5 Days | 1 Month | 6 Months | 1 Year | 5 Years |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| -1.30% | -4.65% | +7.77% | -4.02% | +11.86% | +15.86% |












































