Space economy projected to reach $1.8 trillion by 2035
The global space economy is estimated at $626 billion in 2025 and is projected to reach $1.8 trillion by 2035, driven by a 12% to 15% annual growth rate in the commercial sector. Starfighters Space is addressing a critical bottleneck in launch access by operating a commercial fleet of Mach 2+ F-104 supersonic aircraft for flight testing and developing its STARLAUNCH air-launch program. Government demand, including a U.S. FY2027 space budget of $59.7 billion, provides a stable foundation for the industry's backlog, which has surpassed $500 billion.

*this image is generated using AI for illustrative purposes only.
The commercial space sector has evolved from a speculative promise into a revenue-generating industry with a backlog exceeding $500 billion. Estimates place the global space economy at $626 billion in 2025, projected to rise to $670 billion in 2026 and potentially reach $1.8 trillion by 2035. This growth is driven by a shift from selling hardware to selling infrastructure-enabled outcomes, with commercial space growing at an estimated 12% to 15% annually, outpacing the broader economy. Starfighters Space is betting that the next phase of growth depends less on larger rockets and more on cost-effective, flexible access to altitude.
Market Validation and Government Support
Capital markets have increasingly validated the sector, marked by the 2025 IPOs of Voyager Technologies and Firefly Aerospace, Amazon's $11.6 billion acquisition of Globalstar, and CACI's $2.6 billion purchase of ARKA. SpaceX debuted on the Nasdaq on June 29, 2026, further solidifying the sector's status as investable infrastructure. Government appropriations provide a substantial demand floor, with the U.S. FY2027 space budget totaling $59.7 billion to fund 31 launches. NASA routes roughly 73.5% of its $24.44 billion FY2026 budget through contracts with external businesses, reinforcing a structural preference for commercial partners.
The Access Bottleneck
Despite the robust demand, the industry faces a significant constraint in launch capacity. Space launch services are projected to grow from $13.85 billion in 2026 to $24.42 billion by 2030, representing a 15.2% compound annual growth rate. The specific bottleneck lies in the infrastructure required for flight testing, payload validation, and small-satellite delivery, where demand is outpacing the capacity of conventional launch providers. This gap creates opportunities for alternative methods of reaching altitude, such as air-launch architectures.
Starfighters Space's Strategic Approach
Starfighters Space operates what it describes as the world's only commercial fleet of flight-ready Mach 2+ F-104 supersonic aircraft from the Shuttle Landing Facility at NASA Kennedy Space Center. This fleet provides commercial supersonic flight-test services supporting hypersonic research and development programs. The company is developing the STARLAUNCH air-launch program, designed to use these aircraft as reusable first-stage lifting platforms to carry launch vehicles to high altitude before release. In May 2026, the company added two senior leaders from Blue Origin's New Glenn program and secured a $17.5 million strategic investment to advance the project.
Sector Context and Outlook
The following table provides context on the broader space sector, highlighting key metrics for related companies. These figures are approximate and subject to market volatility.
| Company | Ticker | Key Metric | Value |
|---|---|---|---|
| Rocket Lab | RKLB | Backlog | $2.2 billion |
| Intuitive Machines | LUNR | Backlog | $1.06 billion |
| AST SpaceMobile | ASTS | Cash | $3.03 billion |
| Planet Labs | PL | Q1 Revenue Growth | 42% |
Starfighters Space joined the Russell 3000 Index effective June 29, 2026. The company's future success depends on executing its staged development strategy, which includes a planned drop test and subsequent flight demonstrations. If the space economy continues its trajectory toward $1.8 trillion, the constraint will likely be the cost and cadence of accessing altitude, positioning companies that solve this layer upstream of the rest of the industry.
How will the consolidation trend, marked by acquisitions like Amazon's purchase of Globalstar, impact the competitive landscape for smaller launch service providers?
Can alternative access methods like air-launch architectures realistically scale to meet the projected 15.2% CAGR in launch services by 2030?
What risks does the commercial space sector face if government demand floors, such as the U.S. space budget, fail to grow at the same pace as private sector investment?






























