Report: 84.6% of Canada crime guns trace to US sources

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Key Highlights
  • Report finds 84.6% of crime guns in Canada originate from the United States
  • Ohio is the leading source state for Canada and fourth for the Caribbean
  • Great Lakes region supplies trafficked guns to Latin America and Africa
  • Federal reforms recommended include universal background checks and buyer licensing
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A new report by Global Action on Gun Violence reveals that 84.6% of crime guns in Canada originate from the United States. The study identifies the Great Lakes region as a critical pipeline for cross-border trafficking.

Washington, Sept. 16, 2026 -- Global Action on Gun Violence (GAGV) released findings based on trace data from the U.S. Bureau of Alcohol, Tobacco, Firearms and Explosives. The report highlights the impact of weak gun laws in specific U.S. states on public safety in neighboring countries.

Regional Source Analysis

The report focuses on eight Great Lakes states: Illinois, Indiana, Michigan, Minnesota, New York, Ohio, Pennsylvania, and Wisconsin. These states are significant due to their economic ties with Canada and their role in supplying firearms.

State Role in Trafficking Pipeline Key Findings
Ohio Leading source to Canada Fourth leading source to Caribbean; weak laws cited
Michigan Fifth largest supplier Recent law changes not yet reflected in data
New York Minor source Stronger gun laws limit trafficking
Illinois Minor source Stronger gun laws limit trafficking

Ohio is identified as the most consequential source. Its permissive private-sale environment, limited dealer oversight, and restrictions on local regulation facilitate trafficking. The state is also the fourth leading source of crime guns to the Caribbean.

What the Numbers Show

The data reveals a sharp divergence between regulatory environments and trafficking outcomes. States with stronger gun laws, such as New York and Illinois, do not appear as major source states for Canadian crime guns. In contrast, Ohio and Michigan dominate the supply pipeline despite Michigan’s recent legislative tightening, which has not yet impacted tracing data.

Global Reach and Recommendations

The Great Lakes region also supplies trafficked guns to Latin America, the Caribbean, Saudi Arabia, and the Ivory Coast. GAGV recommends federal reforms including universal background checks, buyer licensing, and stronger scrutiny of bulk sales. Strategic litigation against negligent industry companies is also proposed.

Jonathan Lowy, founder of GAGV, stated that the U.S. gun violence epidemic is causing a regional pandemic. Paul Miller, a partner at Howie Sacks & Henry, noted that cross-border conversations help develop strategies to hold responsible parties accountable.

How might the proposed federal reforms, such as universal background checks and buyer licensing, impact the current trafficking pipeline from Ohio and Michigan?

What specific diplomatic or law enforcement strategies are Canada and the U.S. considering to intercept firearms moving through the Great Lakes region?

Could the success of stricter gun laws in New York and Illinois serve as a model for other Great Lakes states, and what political barriers might prevent similar legislation?

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