Bank of America sees India as strategic growth market, upgrades FY26 GDP forecast to 7.6%
Bank of America Corp identifies India as a strategic growth priority, with CEO Vikram Sahu highlighting the country's compelling growth story and expanding global client presence. The bank's economists upgraded India's GDP growth projections to 7.6% for FY26 and 6.8% for FY27, reflecting robust economic momentum. Investment banking achieved record performance with fees crossing $1 billion in CY25, while domestic equity market inflows provide resilience against foreign institutional investor outflows.

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Bank of America Corp positions India as a strategic growth market within its global footprint, driven by the country's strong economic momentum and expanding client base. Vikram Sahu, Chief Executive Officer of Bank of America in India, emphasized that Asia's second-biggest economy remains one of the most compelling growth stories globally.
Strategic Priority in Global Operations
Bank of America operates across 37 countries representing over 80% of global GDP outside the United States, with India serving as an important contributor to the international business growth engine. The bank's global objective focuses on generating revenue growth above GDP while combining operating leverage to deliver over 12% earnings growth in the medium term.
Sahu highlighted three key factors that make India attractive: the country's position as one of the world's largest and fastest-growing major economies on a sustainable basis, expanding global client presence, and Indian companies scaling internationally while partnering across markets.
Economic Growth Projections Upgraded
Bank of America economists have revised India's economic growth forecasts upward based on robust economic indicators:
| Fiscal Year | Previous Projection | Upgraded Projection |
|---|---|---|
| FY26 | 7.0% | 7.6% |
| FY27 | 6.5% | 6.8% |
The upgraded projections reflect strong momentum in consumption, investment, and public spending, supported by surging fuel use, power generation, automobile sales, and credit growth. However, Sahu noted that these numbers may moderate due to potential trade headwinds.
Investment Banking Momentum
India's investment banking sector achieved record performance, with banking fees crossing the $1 billion mark in CY25 according to industry estimates. The strong momentum is expected to continue into CY26, driven by several factors:
- Strong corporate balance sheets
- Sustained economic growth
- Supportive environment for strategic consolidation and expansion
Capital Markets Dynamics
Despite foreign institutional investor outflows, India's equity markets have demonstrated resilience through domestic inflows, which Sahu described as a healthy development for capital formation. The proportion of Indian households investing in equities continues rising alongside economic growth, shifting from traditional interest-bearing fixed income investments.
Risk Assessment and Outlook
Sahu identified key risks for the medium term, including potential earnings disappointments against elevated valuation levels and inflation trajectory changes. Regarding artificial intelligence investment concerns, he distinguished the current environment from the internet bubble, noting that today's principal AI actors are established firms with strong balance sheets and clear monetization pathways.
The medium-term outlook for India remains firmly positive, supported by structural reforms, demographic advantages, and digital transformation, despite external headwinds and valuation risks that warrant caution.



























