O'Leary says politics and markets tend to be cyclical

1 min read     Updated on 25 Jun 2026, 03:39 PM
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Investor Kevin O'Leary stated that U.S. politics behaves like economic cycles, swinging between ideological extremes before returning to the center. He argued that candidates focusing on pragmatism and economic growth are more likely to resonate with voters than those pushing ideological extremes. O'Leary made these comments in a post on X as debate intensifies ahead of the 2028 presidential election.

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Investor Kevin O'Leary stated that U.S. politics behaves like economic cycles, swinging between ideological extremes before returning to the center, as debate over free-market capitalism versus government-led policies intensifies ahead of the 2028 presidential election. In a post on X on Wednesday, O'Leary argued that the political pendulum swings and voters react, causing the country to move back toward the center over time. He emphasized that electoral success often depends less on ideology and more on execution and practicality.

O'Leary noted that candidates who focus on pragmatism, economic growth, and job creation are more likely to resonate than those pushing ideological extremes. While predicting election outcomes is difficult, he said history shows voters tend to reward moderation and execution over rhetoric when they cast their ballots.

2028 Presidential Race Speculation

Speculation regarding the 2028 presidential race continues to grow. Vice President JD Vance previously said he would evaluate his political future after the midterm elections while remaining focused on his current role. He stated that he planned to discuss future steps with his family and did not want future ambitions to interfere with his duties. Vance also noted that conversations with President Donald Trump about 2028 were infrequent and mostly strategic.

Rep. Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez (D-N.Y.) signaled she had not ruled out a 2028 run but said her focus was on broader goals beyond political office. She stated that she aimed to "change this country" and prioritize long-term policy outcomes over titles, stressing that she responds to current conditions rather than career planning.

SkyBridge Capital founder Anthony Scaramucci briefly entered the conversation after jokingly announcing a 2028 presidential bid as an April Fools’ prank. The stunt, which included campaign-style messaging and a "Mooch 2028" hat, was quickly recognized as satire.

How might the 2026 midterm election results shape the ideological positioning of both parties heading into the 2028 presidential race?

If JD Vance formally announces a 2028 presidential bid, how could his association with Trump-era policies affect his appeal to centrist voters O'Leary describes as decisive?

Could Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez's progressive platform overcome the historical voter preference for moderation that O'Leary references, particularly in key swing states?

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Trump seeks $87.6bn for Iran war as Democrats criticize funding request

2 min read     Updated on 25 Jun 2026, 03:35 PM
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The White House requested $87.6 billion from Congress for the Iran war and domestic aid, including $21 billion for defense. Democrats criticized the request due to lack of authorization and existing unspent funds, while Republican leaders emphasized the need to support military readiness.

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The White House has approached Congress for an extra $87.6 billion in spending to fund the Iran war and other initiatives, including aid to U.S. farmers and the Ebola response. The request was made by Russell Vought, the White House Office of Management and Budget Director, in a letter to House Speaker Mike Johnson on Wednesday. Vought urged Congress to act on these “important and urgent requests as soon as possible.”

Funding Breakdown

The request includes $21 billion for the Defense Department to bolster military capabilities, purchase munitions, and expand the U.S. defense industrial base. Additionally, it allocates $1.4 billion for Ebola response efforts and $768 million for the Energy Department to support nuclear security and other energy-related initiatives. Vought’s proposal also seeks $10 billion in aid for farmers affected by Trump’s trade policies, $500 million for projects in Washington, and $1 billion to renovate New York City’s Penn Station.

Allocation Area Amount
Defense Department $21 billion
Farmer Aid $10 billion
Penn Station Renovation $1 billion
Ebola Response $1.4 billion
Energy Department $768 million
Washington Projects $500 million

Escalating Defense Costs

In March, the Pentagon asked the White House to seek more than $200 billion from Congress to fund the war in Iran, citing the need to support current and potential future military operations. Defense Secretary Pete Hegseth said additional funding is necessary to sustain the campaign. Lawmakers were told that the conflict’s first six days alone cost at least $11.3 billion, with total combat expenses likely higher.

President Donald Trump defended the proposed increase in the defense budget, stating that U.S. ammunition stockpiles were depleted due to extensive aid to Ukraine. He accused former President Joe Biden of providing $350 billion in cash and military support without replenishing supplies. Trump added that defense firms like Lockheed Martin (NYSE: LMT) and Raytheon, a unit of RTX Corporation (NYSE: RTX), are “building at a level they’ve never seen before.”

Political Opposition

Sen. Patty Murray (D-Wash.) criticized Trump for seeking additional war funding after launching military action against Iran without congressional approval. Murray argued that taxpayers should not be asked to finance further overseas conflicts, noting that the Pentagon already has a record budget and more than $100 billion in unspent funds from the GOP’s “One Big Beautiful Bill.”

Sen. Chris Murphy (D-Conn) criticized the package as structured to deter Democratic support and ensure its failure. Sen. Mazie Hirono (D-Hawaii) said Democrats would struggle to back funding for what she described as an illegal war, particularly amid cuts to domestic spending. Meanwhile, House Appropriations leaders Tom Cole (R-OK) and Ken Calvert (R-CA) backed the White House’s request, emphasizing the need to replenish weapons stockpiles and support deployed troops.

How will the political divide over the legality of the Iran conflict impact the likelihood of Congress passing the full $87.6 billion request?

What specific long-term effects will the depleted ammunition stockpiles have on U.S. military readiness if Congress delays the funding?

How might the proposed $10 billion in farmer aid influence negotiations and support for the broader defense spending package?

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