Fed's Hammack warns AI spending could keep inflation hot

1 min read     Updated on 01 Jul 2026, 02:52 PM
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Cleveland Federal Reserve President Beth Hammack warned that surging demand for artificial intelligence infrastructure could add to inflationary pressures and may force the Federal Reserve to raise interest rates again if price growth remains elevated. She cited insatiable demand for data center inputs and noted a lack of restraint in corporate spending, contrasting with Fed Chair Kevin Warsh's view on AI's disinflationary potential.

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Cleveland Federal Reserve President Beth Hammack warned that surging demand for artificial intelligence infrastructure could add to inflationary pressures and may force the Federal Reserve to raise interest rates again if price growth remains elevated. Speaking to CNBC from the European Central Bank conference in Sintra, Portugal, Hammack said inflation remains above the Fed’s 2% target and warned that persistent price pressures tied to AI spending could complicate monetary policy.

"We’ve got inflation that’s too high, and it’s been too high for the past five years," Hammack told CNBC’s Sara Eisen. "When I look at policy, if that continues, it may mean that we need higher interest rates to bring inflation back down to target."

Hammack pointed to aggressive spending on AI-related infrastructure, particularly data centers, as a sign that economic demand remains strong and could continue putting upward pressure on prices. She cited a manufacturer in her district involved in electric switching equipment for data centers and said demand remains unusually strong. "What they say is that the demand is insatiable, that these companies, these hyperscalers, will pay almost any price for those inputs, and they need things built yesterday," Hammack said.

Recent data from Data Center Watch showed at least 75 AI data center projects worth roughly $130 billion were blocked or delayed in the first quarter of 2026 as infrastructure expansion accelerated. Hammack said she is not seeing much evidence that high borrowing costs are slowing corporate investment. "When I look broadly, particularly around large companies, I’m not seeing a lot of restraint in the economy," she said.

Hammack’s comments contrast with Fed Chair Kevin Warsh, who has argued AI could eventually reduce labor costs and become disinflationary through productivity gains. Hammack is a voting member of the Federal Open Market Committee this year. The Federal Open Market Committee kept rates unchanged earlier this month, though policymakers’ latest projections indicated one quarter-point rate increase could still be possible later this year.

Key Inflation Metrics

Metric Monthly Change Annual Change
Headline PCE 0.4% 4.1%
Core PCE 0.3% 3.4%
Trimmed Mean PCE - 2.8% (Annualized)

How might the Federal Reserve balance the need to curb AI-driven inflation without stifling long-term productivity gains?

Will the insatiable demand for data center inputs eventually spill over into broader supply chain inflation across other sectors?

Could the divergence in views between Hammack and Warsh lead to increased volatility within the Federal Open Market Committee?

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Trump Briefed on War Options Against Iran, Chooses Diplomacy and Eyes Nuclear Deal Deadline Extension

2 min read     Updated on 01 Jul 2026, 07:27 AM
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Trump opted for continued diplomatic talks over military escalation against Iran and is willing to extend the nuclear deal deadline beyond August 18, according to the Wall Street Journal. The de-escalation lifted WTI crude oil to $70.14 per barrel, boosted U.S. stock futures, and supported premarket gains in major ETFs, while key corporate movers including Universe Pharmaceuticals and Qualcomm also drew investor attention.

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Global financial markets reacted positively after a Donald Trump administration official confirmed that the U.S. and Iran would "stand down" following a recent exchange of military strikes, allowing vessels to move freely through the Strait of Hormuz. According to the Wall Street Journal, Trump was briefed on all-out war options against Iran but opted to continue with diplomatic talks, and is willing to extend the Iran nuclear deal deadline beyond August 18. The announcement helped lift oil prices to nearly $70 per barrel and drove U.S. stock futures higher, even as Iran has not publicly confirmed the pause in hostilities. The development comes amid ongoing technical talks regarding a memorandum of understanding signed earlier this month, aimed at reopening the strategic waterway and advancing negotiations over Iran's nuclear program.

Diplomatic Developments

A senior U.S. administration official stated that technical talks on implementing the memorandum remain "on track" and that deconfliction channels between the two sides remain operational. American and Iranian officials are scheduled to meet in Doha, Qatar, for further discussions. The latest developments follow a tense period during which President Trump warned of additional military action if Iranian strikes continued, while Iran cautioned that any ceasefire violations would "result in the complete halt of all diplomatic processes." Despite the fragile nature of the agreement, Trump's decision to pursue talks over military escalation — and his willingness to extend the nuclear deal deadline beyond August 18 — signals a continued, if cautious, diplomatic approach.

Market Reaction

The easing of geopolitical tensions spurred immediate movement across major asset classes. Dow futures rose 0.36%, while S&P 500 futures gained 0.72% and Nasdaq 100 futures climbed 1.10%. In commodities, WTI crude oil rose 1.31% to $70.14 per barrel. The SPDR S&P 500 ETF Trust and Invesco QQQ Trust ETF were higher in premarket trading, with SPY up 0.95% at $735.90 and QQQ advancing 1.13% to $714.36. The 10-year Treasury bond yielded 4.38%, while the two-year bond stood at 4.10%. Markets are currently pricing a 70.60% likelihood of the Federal Reserve leaving interest rates unchanged in July.

Index/Asset Performance
Dow Jones Futures +0.36%
S&P 500 Futures +0.72%
Nasdaq 100 Futures +1.10%
Russell 2000 Futures +0.17%
WTI Crude Oil $70.14 (+1.31%)
SPY (Premarket) +0.95% at $735.90
QQQ (Premarket) +1.13% at $714.36
10-Year Treasury Yield 4.38%
2-Year Treasury Yield 4.10%

Stocks in Focus

Several stocks moved significantly on corporate news in premarket trading. The following table highlights key movers and the developments driving their performance:

Company Move Development
Viridian Therapeutics +11.45% FDA approval and launch of Lumvoa for thyroid eye disease
Universe Pharmaceuticals +222.97% Acquisition of Best Praise International for $10.75 million
Qualcomm +2.65% Deal to acquire AI software firm Modular for ~$3.9 billion; raised long-term outlook
HP Inc. +0.31% Strategic partnership announced with OpenAI
Verizon Communications -0.30% Agreed to combine international operations in a 50:50 joint venture with BT Group

How will oil prices react if Iran fails to publicly confirm the pause in hostilities?

What are the risks to the diplomatic track if hardliners in Iran oppose the extended nuclear deal deadline?

Will the reduction in geopolitical risk premiums sustain the current rally in U.S. equity futures?

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