TD Cowen keeps Tesla Buy rating at $460 target
TD Cowen maintains a Buy rating on Tesla with a $460 price target, citing autonomous vehicle prospects. Analyst Itay Michaeli notes cautious optimism due to missing safety metrics versus Waymo. Tesla stock trades above short-term moving averages but remains well below long-term technical supports, with RSI at neutral levels.

*this image is generated using AI for illustrative purposes only.
TD Cowen reiterated a Buy rating on Tesla Inc (NASDAQ: TSLA) shares on Friday, maintaining its price target at $460. The reiteration implies approximately 32.76% upside from the stock’s recent trading level of $346.50. Analyst Itay Michaeli described his view as cautiously positive, driven by confidence in Tesla’s autonomous vehicle (AV) strategy, though tempered by the absence of public safety data that would allow direct comparison with competitor Waymo.
The rating update followed a discussion hosted by TD Cowen during its Internet Bus Tour featuring autonomous vehicle expert Alex Roy. Roy identified Tesla and Waymo as the two firms best positioned to scale AV ridesharing nationally. He noted that while Waymo leads in safety and rollout scale, it faces hardware constraints for licensing to automakers. In contrast, Tesla is focused on improving software safety but lacks head-to-head safety data against Waymo.
Roy suggested that rider behavior could favor Tesla over time, predicting younger customers may accept Tesla’s current safety levels as sufficient. He also indicated a roughly five-year window for a leading U.S. company to secure dominant national scale in the sector.
Technical Position
Tesla shares were up 0.07% to $340.21 at the time of publication. Technically, the stock showed signs of stabilization in the short term but faced headwinds over longer horizons.
Shares held above their 20-day simple moving average of $328.87 and traded near their 20-day exponential moving average of $337.65. This support prevented a sharper decline. However, the stock remained significantly below longer-term averages:
| Metric | Value | Distance from Current Price |
|---|---|---|
| 50-day Moving Average | $370.98 | 9.2% below |
| 100-day Moving Average | $382.73 | 12% below |
| 200-day Moving Average | $406.05 | 17.1% below |
The relative strength index (RSI) sat at 45.96, indicating neutral momentum. The stock was neither oversold enough to trigger a bounce nor strong enough to suggest buyer control. Traders identified $355.50 as resistance, aligning with a zone where past rebounds stalled, and $297.50 as support, just above the 52-week low of $297.38.
What the Numbers Show
The divergence between short-term and long-term technical indicators highlights a market in transition. While immediate selling pressure has eased enough for the stock to hold above its 20-day averages, the significant gap below the 50-day and 200-day averages confirms a broader downtrend persists. The neutral RSI reading reinforces this stalemate, suggesting traders are waiting for a decisive break above the $355.50 resistance level before committing to a long-term bullish stance.
How might the release of comparative safety data between Tesla and Waymo impact institutional investor confidence in Tesla's autonomous valuation?
What specific hardware or software milestones must Tesla achieve within the next five years to secure dominant national scale in AV ridesharing?
Could the demographic shift toward younger, risk-tolerant riders accelerate Tesla's market share gains despite current safety data gaps?

































