Rocket Lab stock plunges 60% as space sector sells off
Rocket Lab stock fell 60% to $63.9 following an $8 billion Iridium acquisition announcement and a broader space sector sell-off. Despite the price drop, Q1 revenue grew 63.5% to $200 million with a $2.2 billion backlog. Analysts remain bullish with a consensus target of $110.

*this image is generated using AI for illustrative purposes only.
Rocket Lab (NASDAQ: RKLB) shares have reversed sharply in recent weeks, plunging from a record high of $150 to $63.9. This 60% decline has halved the company’s market valuation from $82.9 billion to $38.2 billion. The sell-off coincides with a broader retreat in space-related equities, including SpaceX (NASDAQ: SPCX), which fell from $225 to $110, and the Procure Space ETF (NASDAQ: UFO), which dropped 37% from its year-to-date peak.
The stock’s deterioration accelerated after Rocket Lab announced an $8 billion deal to acquire Iridium, a provider of global voice, data, and navigation services. Iridium serves clients including the US government, Vodafone, and Garmin. Management expects the acquisition to provide an immediate foothold in Internet of Things (IoT) and direct-to-device applications, positioning Rocket Lab as a direct competitor to SpaceX’s Starlink communications service.
Despite the market reaction, Rocket Lab’s operational metrics continue to expand. In the first quarter, revenue jumped 63.5% to $200 million, driven by an increase in launches from five to six and growth in space systems revenue. The company ended the quarter with a $2.2 billion revenue backlog, predominantly within its space systems segment.
Financial Performance and Outlook
Wall Street analysts maintain a bullish outlook, citing growth potential from the HASTE and Neutron programs. Neutron is positioned to challenge SpaceX’s Falcon 9 in the medium-lift launch market, targeting larger commercial, government, and defense missions, while Electron continues to serve small satellites.
| Metric | Value |
|---|---|
| Q1 Revenue | $200 million |
| Revenue Growth | 63.5% |
| Launches Completed | 6 |
| Revenue Backlog | $2.2 billion |
| Consensus Target | $110 |
Analysts had estimated Q1 revenue at $230 million, representing a 59% increase. Full-year revenue is projected to rise 52% to $918 million, followed by $1.28 billion next year. Bank of America raised its target to $115, Citizens to $130, and Needham to $120.
Technical Analysis
Technical indicators suggest a bearish short-term trend. The stock slipped below the 100-day moving average and the Strong, Pivot reverse of the Murrey Math Lines tool. It breached the key support level of $80, reaching its lowest point since June 26. While the immediate outlook remains negative, analysts note potential for a rebound to the Major S/R pivot point of $100 if investors begin buying the dip in space companies.
How will the integration of Iridium's legacy satellite infrastructure impact Rocket Lab's near-term cash flow and debt levels?
What specific regulatory hurdles might delay the Iridium acquisition, and how could they affect the timeline for competing with Starlink?
Can Rocket Lab's Neutron rocket achieve cost parity with SpaceX's Falcon 9 to capture the projected medium-lift market share?

































