Netflix US TV time share falls 40bps to 7.9% in June: JPMorgan
- Netflix US TV time share fell 40 bps YoY to 7.9% in June
- Shares rallied 19% from post-earnings lows to $80.08
- JPMorgan maintains Overweight rating with $85 price target
- Viewing hours grew globally except in US and Canada
- Cloud gaming MAUs grew 11x in eight months

*this image is generated using AI for illustrative purposes only.
Netflix Inc (NASDAQ: NFLX) saw its share of US TV time decline by 40 basis points year-on-year to 7.9% in June, according to JPMorgan analyst Doug Anmuth. The sequential drop was 10 bps, while competitor YouTube’s share expanded to 13.8%.
Shares of Netflix have rallied 19% from their post-earnings lows, though Anmuth noted that "investor sentiment remains mixed to cautious" regarding engagement growth and its impact on revenues and margins. At the time of publication on Friday, shares had declined by 0.08% to $80.08.
Anmuth maintained an Overweight rating with a price target of $85. He attributed the shift in viewing habits partly to World Cup viewing. While Netflix lacks a "single silver bullet" for engagement, it relies on multiple ongoing initiatives, including strong content.
Engagement Metrics
The analyst estimates that Netflix’s viewing hours grew in all regions except the US and Canada. This divergence highlights a regional split in user behavior despite global content strategies.
Growth Initiatives
To sustain double-digit revenue growth near term, Netflix is focusing on several key areas beyond scripted content and film:
- Live events, expected to grow from 5% of budget to high single-digits over time
- Short-form video for lower commitment engagement
- Cloud gaming, with monthly active users growing 11x in eight months
- Partnership deals similar to TF1
Anmuth stated that subscription growth, mostly international, pricing changes, and advertising support revenue prospects. He also noted ongoing testing of free trials as a modest second-half revenue headwind and potentially additional bundling opportunities.
What the Numbers Show
The contrast between declining US TV time share (-40 bps YoY) and expanding cloud gaming MAUs (11x growth) suggests a strategic pivot toward interactive and short-form engagement formats to offset traditional linear viewing erosion.
How might the increasing allocation of budget toward live events impact Netflix's profit margins in the near term compared to traditional scripted content?
Could the 11x growth in cloud gaming MAUs translate into meaningful revenue, or will it remain primarily a retention tool to offset linear viewing erosion?
What specific risks do free trial tests pose to Netflix's short-term revenue targets, and how might this influence their pricing strategy in the second half of the year?

































