TCS Q3 Preview: PAT may rise 6% YoY; margin pressure likely
TCS is expected to report 5% YoY revenue growth to ₹67,000-67,500 crore and 6% profit growth to ₹13,000-13,200 crore in Q3. Margins face pressure from wage hikes and investments, with brokerages projecting 28-43 bps sequential decline. Deal pipeline of $10-11 billion TCV expected, with focus on management commentary regarding client spending, GenAI adoption, and competitive positioning.

*this image is generated using AI for illustrative purposes only.
Tata Consultancy Services is expected to report steady but muted growth in the December quarter, with brokerages forecasting cautious performance amid ongoing client spending constraints. An average of five brokerages projects revenue growth of about 5% year-on-year and profit growth of around 6%, reflecting the challenging operating environment for IT services companies.
Financial Performance Projections
Based on brokerage estimates, TCS's Q3 performance is expected to show modest growth across key metrics:
| Metric | Q3 Estimate | Growth Expectation |
|---|---|---|
| Revenue | ₹67,000-67,500 crore | ~5% YoY |
| Profit After Tax | ₹13,000-13,200 crore | ~6% YoY |
| Sequential Revenue Growth | 2.4-2.6% QoQ | Moderate expansion |
Revenue Outlook: Currency and Regional Dynamics
YES Securities expects TCS to post revenue of about ₹67,390 crore, implying 5.3% year-on-year and 2.4% quarter-on-quarter growth. In constant currency terms, growth is expected to remain muted, reflecting weak discretionary spending and softness in the India business.
Axis Securities estimates 2.6% sequential topline growth, supported by traction in BFSI, hi-tech sectors and favourable cross-currency movements. However, Kotak Equities expects flat revenues quarter-on-quarter, with growth in international markets offset by a decline in domestic business.
Margin Pressure from Multiple Factors
Margins are expected to remain under pressure during the quarter due to several operational factors:
| Brokerage | EBITDA Margin Impact | Key Pressure Points |
|---|---|---|
| YES Securities | -43 bps QoQ to 26.9% | Wage hikes, investments |
| Axis Securities | -28 bps sequential | Wage increases, fewer working days |
| Kotak Equities | Broadly stable | Rupee depreciation offsetting costs |
Kotak Equities expects margins to remain broadly stable, with rupee depreciation partly offsetting the impact of investments and employee-related costs.
Deal Pipeline and Strategic Focus Areas
Brokerages expect total contract value (TCV) of $10-11 billion for the quarter. Kotak Equities noted unconfirmed media reports of a large telecom deal win, which could support medium-term growth visibility.
Key areas of investor focus include:
- Management commentary on deal momentum and client budgets for CY26
- GenAI adoption progress and implementation
- GCC-related opportunities and expansion
- Clarity on margin aspirations and data centre investments
- Impact of rising competitive intensity in the IT services sector
Investors will closely track guidance on revenue acceleration, progress in large deal closures, and management's outlook on discretionary tech spending amid global macro uncertainty.
Historical Stock Returns for Tata Consultancy Services
| 1 Day | 5 Days | 1 Month | 6 Months | 1 Year | 5 Years |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| +0.12% | -0.61% | -0.89% | -5.82% | -21.92% | +2.78% |














































