Prabhudas Lilladher Maintains 'BUY' Rating on ICICI Bank with ₹1,800 Target Price
Prabhudas Lilladher maintains 'BUY' rating on ICICI Bank with ₹1,800 target despite soft quarter showing 5.10% core PAT miss due to lower revenue and ₹12.80 billion one-time provision impact. The brokerage remains optimistic citing improved loan growth momentum and management stability with CEO term extension till September 2028, expecting industry-best 2.20% core RoA for FY28E.

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Prabhudas Lilladher has maintained its 'BUY' rating on ICICI Bank with a target price of ₹1,800, despite the bank's soft quarterly performance that missed analyst expectations.
Quarterly Performance Challenges
The bank experienced a challenging quarter with lower core revenue and elevated provisions leading to a core profit after tax (PAT) miss of 5.10%. Several factors contributed to this underperformance:
| Performance Metric | Impact |
|---|---|
| Core PAT Miss | 5.10% |
| One-time Provision Impact | ₹12.80 billion |
| PSL Non-compliance Loans | ₹200-250 billion |
Net interest margins (NIM) came under pressure due to the bank's strategy of utilizing investments over cash towards lending activities. This shift followed the Cash Reserve Ratio (CRR) cut, with incremental credit growth being primarily driven by corporate lending and mortgage segments.
Fee Income and Provision Concerns
Fee income declined due to weak growth in unsecured lending products and competitive pressure on loan-related fees. The bank faced a significant one-time provision impact of ₹12.80 billion related to Priority Sector Lending (PSL) non-compliance involving loans worth ₹200-250 billion, following the Reserve Bank of India's annual review.
Key Concerns Addressed
Two primary concerns that had been weighing on the stock's performance have shown signs of improvement:
- Loan Growth Recovery: The bank has witnessed a pickup in loan growth momentum, which management expects to continue in upcoming quarters
- Management Stability: The board has approved MD & CEO Mr. Bakshi's term extension for two years until September 2028, which alleviates key management personnel risk
Future Outlook and Valuation
Despite the current quarter's challenges, Prabhudas Lilladher remains optimistic about ICICI Bank's long-term prospects. The brokerage expects the bank to achieve an industry-best core Return on Assets (RoA) of 2.20% for FY28E.
| Projection Metric | Target |
|---|---|
| Expected Core RoA (FY28E) | 2.20% |
| Target Price | ₹1,800 |
| Rating | BUY |
The firm maintains its multiple on September 2027 core Adjusted Book Value and keeps the target price at ₹1,800 while retaining the 'BUY' recommendation, suggesting confidence in the bank's ability to overcome current headwinds and deliver strong returns to investors.
Historical Stock Returns for ICICI Bank
| 1 Day | 5 Days | 1 Month | 6 Months | 1 Year | 5 Years |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| -2.14% | -1.69% | +1.07% | -3.21% | +10.53% | +158.95% |















































