Scott Melker cites technicals, whale buying for Bitcoin bottom at $60,000
Scott Melker identifies Bitcoin's $60,000 level as a potential bottom, citing technical recoveries above the 200-week moving average and whale accumulation. Despite forced selling from Strategy and miners, price stability suggests supply is shifting to long-term holders as retail exits via ETF outflows.

*this image is generated using AI for illustrative purposes only.
Market commentator Scott Melker argues that Bitcoin’s (CRYPTO: BTC) prolonged consolidation around $60,000 may represent a bottoming phase, driven by shifting market structure and technical signals. In a podcast on July 31, Melker highlighted that despite significant outflows from spot Bitcoin ETFs and forced selling by major entities, the asset has found support, suggesting a transfer of ownership from short-term retail investors to long-term holders.
Technical Indicators Signal Support
Melker pointed to several technical factors resembling conditions seen near previous cycle lows. Bitcoin recently traded approximately 10% above its July low near $58,000, while investor sentiment remained in the fear zone. Key technical signals include a deeply oversold weekly relative strength index, a bullish divergence, and a recovery above the 200-week moving average. Additionally, the asset bounced near its 50-month moving average, a level historically associated with major accumulation zones.
However, Melker cautioned that Bitcoin has not yet reclaimed key resistance levels and could still revisit the lower end of its trading range.
Forced Sellers Exit the Market
A central theme of Melker’s analysis is the exhaustion of forced sellers. Several digital asset treasury companies, which were previously expected to support prices, have instead liquidated holdings or abandoned accumulation strategies following collapses in their stock premiums.
Strategy (NASDAQ: MSTR), led by Michael Saylor, recently sold Bitcoin to increase cash reserves and manage preferred-stock obligations. Similarly, Bitcoin miners have sold holdings to redirect capital toward AI infrastructure. Despite these entities stepping away as buyers or becoming sellers, BTC prices have remained relatively stable.
"Every supposed buyer of last resort became a forced seller, and Bitcoin is still here," Melker said.
Whale Accumulation vs. Retail Capitulation
The current market dynamic appears characterized by a shift in supply from short-term traders to long-term holders. Spot Bitcoin ETFs recorded significant outflows during the correction as retail investors rotated capital into AI and semiconductor stocks. Conversely, large Bitcoin holders have reportedly resumed accumulating near the $60,000 region after selling into the rally toward Bitcoin’s October 2025 all-time high near $126,000.
Falling exchange reserves further suggest that investors are withdrawing Bitcoin into self-custody rather than preparing to sell, reinforcing the view that supply is moving toward longer-term storage.
Key Market Data Points
| Metric / Entity | Detail |
|---|---|
| Current Price Level | ~$60,000 |
| July Low | Near $58,000 |
| October 2025 High | Near $126,000 |
| Strategy Action | Sold Bitcoin, increased cash reserves |
| Miner Action | Sold holdings, shifted to AI infrastructure |
| ETF Trend | Significant outflows |
| Exchange Reserves | Falling |
What the Numbers Show
The divergence between retail behavior and whale activity suggests a structural change in demand. While retail investors exited via ETF outflows, large holders accumulated near $60,000. This transfer of supply, combined with falling exchange reserves, indicates that the selling pressure from forced entities like Strategy and miners has been absorbed by long-term holders, potentially establishing a floor for prices despite the absence of new retail inflows.
How might the continued rotation of retail capital into AI and semiconductor stocks impact Bitcoin's ability to break above key resistance levels in the near term?
If the exhaustion of forced sellers is confirmed, what specific technical or on-chain metrics would signal that the market has transitioned from a bottoming phase to a new accumulation cycle?
Could the strategic shift of miners toward AI infrastructure permanently alter their role as market sellers, thereby reducing future supply shocks during bearish periods?

































