CLSA backs Varun Beverages with ₹654 target on Asahi-CALPIS India launch
CLSA has maintained a High Conviction Outperform rating on Varun Beverages with a target price of ₹654, backing the company's strategic alliance with Asahi Group Holdings to launch CALPIS Smooth Yogurt in India. The ready-to-drink, dairy-based beverage in Original and Mango flavors is set to launch in the second half of 2026, with Varun Beverages handling manufacturing, distribution, and sales while Asahi manages product development and marketing.

*this image is generated using AI for illustrative purposes only.
Varun Beverages Limited has formed a strategic alliance with Asahi Group Holdings to introduce the Calpis brand to the Indian market. The partnership aims to launch a ready-to-drink, non-alcoholic, dairy-based beverage in the second half of 2026, marking Asahi Group's entry into India's non-alcohol and non-carbonated beverage sector. The collaboration leverages Varun Beverages' extensive distribution network and manufacturing capabilities to establish the Japanese brand in a market that has grown approximately 2.3 times in volume over the past decade.
CLSA Analyst View
Global brokerage CLSA has maintained its High Conviction Outperform rating on Varun Beverages, assigning a target price of ₹654. The brokerage cited the company's strategic partnership with Asahi Group Holdings to launch CALPIS in India as a key positive. CLSA highlighted that the deal adds a differentiated fermented dairy ready-to-drink beverage to Varun Beverages' portfolio, while leveraging the company's strong manufacturing capabilities, cold-chain infrastructure, and distribution network.
| Parameter | Details |
|---|---|
| Rating | High Conviction Outperform |
| Target Price | ₹654 |
| Brokerage | CLSA |
| Key Catalyst | Asahi Group partnership for CALPIS India launch |
Partnership Structure and Roles
Under the business alliance agreement, responsibilities are divided between the two entities to optimize their respective strengths. Asahi Group Holdings will oversee product development and provide technical support for production. Its local subsidiary will manage marketing and brand management activities. Varun Beverages will be responsible for the manufacturing, distribution, and sales of the Calpis products within India.
Product Details and Launch Timeline
The initial product launch will feature Calpis Smooth Yogurt in two flavor offerings: Original and Mango. The beverage is a fermented milk-based drink known for its sweet and tangy taste. The launch is scheduled for the second half of 2026. The product packaging design is subject to change, though the initial release will feature plastic bottles in white and yellow variants corresponding to the flavors.
| Feature | Details |
|---|---|
| Product | Calpis Smooth Yogurt |
| Type | Ready-to-drink, non-alcohol, dairy-based |
| Flavors | Original, Mango |
| Launch Period | Second half of 2026 |
| Asahi Group Role | Product development, technical support, marketing |
| Varun Beverages Role | Manufacturing, distribution, sales |
Strategic Rationale
The alliance targets India's large consumer base, which is the largest in the world with a population exceeding 1.4 billion. The non-alcohol beverage market in the country is identified as a promising segment due to rising health-consciousness and the expansion of the wealthy middle-class. For Varun Beverages, the partnership adds a product with unique value to its portfolio, complementing its existing operations as the second largest franchisee of PepsiCo outside the United States.
Management Commentary
Atsushi Katsuki, President and Group CEO at Asahi Group Holdings, highlighted the significance of the partnership, noting that India is a dynamic market. He expressed confidence that combining the strengths of both companies would create new value and contribute to sustainable growth. Varun Jaipuria, Executive Vice Chairman at Varun Beverages Limited, stated that the company is committed to building the category and sees significant long-term potential for the brand in India.
Historical Stock Returns for Varun Beverages
| 1 Day | 5 Days | 1 Month | 6 Months | 1 Year | 5 Years |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| -0.39% | +1.85% | +3.52% | +11.80% | +12.80% | +398.63% |
How will Varun Beverages balance the resource allocation between its existing PepsiCo franchise and the new Calpis product line?
What specific marketing strategies will Asahi employ to educate Indian consumers about the fermented dairy category given the 2026 launch delay?
Could this alliance pave the way for Varun Beverages to distribute other Asahi non-alcoholic or carbonated brands in the future?

































