Tesla Q2 Results: Revenue beats, EPS misses expectations
Tesla Inc. delivered mixed Q2 results, with revenue of $28.24 billion beating estimates but EPS of 33 cents missing the 50-cent consensus. The company reached $100 billion in trailing revenue, aided by 25% higher deliveries and 56% growth in FSD subscriptions to 1.48 million. Cybercab production has started, and merger speculation with SpaceX remains high.

*this image is generated using AI for illustrative purposes only.
Tesla Inc. reported second-quarter revenue of $28.24 billion, beating analyst estimates, although earnings per share of 33 cents missed the Street’s 50-cent consensus. The automaker marked a significant milestone by hitting $100 billion in trailing twelve-month revenue for the first time. This achievement was underpinned by a 25% year-over-year increase in vehicle deliveries and a robust expansion in its software services, with Full Self-Driving (FSD) subscriptions climbing 56% to reach 1.48 million active users. The mixed financial results highlight a divergence between top-line growth momentum and bottom-line profitability pressures.
Operational Highlights
The company’s operational metrics indicate strong demand despite broader economic headwinds. Deliveries rose 25% year-over-year, contributing to the record trailing revenue figure. A key driver of this growth was the adoption of its autonomous driving technology. Active FSD subscriptions hit 1.48 million in the second quarter, representing a 56% increase from the prior year period. CEO Elon Musk noted that customer behavior is shifting, with many buyers prioritizing FSD capabilities over specific vehicle models, stating that customers are "actually buying" the technology rather than just the car.
| Metric | Value | Change |
|---|---|---|
| Q2 Revenue | $28.24 billion | Beat estimates |
| Earnings Per Share | 33 cents | Missed 50-cent consensus |
| Trailing Twelve-Month Revenue | $100 billion | First time milestone |
| Vehicle Deliveries | N/A | Up 25% YoY |
| FSD Subscriptions | 1.48 million | Up 56% YoY |
Future Production and Technology
Tesla announced that its Cybercab has begun production, marking a tangible step toward its robotaxi ambitions. Additionally, manufacturing lines for the Optimus Bot are being installed, with output expected to commence soon. Musk addressed speculation regarding traffic impacts, predicting that self-driving cars might initially worsen congestion by removing the "pain of driving yourself," thereby encouraging more vehicle usage. He also reaffirmed that FSD will eventually remember individual user preferences, including preferred parking spots at regular destinations.
Strategic Speculation
Speculation regarding a potential merger between Tesla Inc. and Space Exploration Technologies Corp. intensified following the earnings call. Musk cited "more and more overlap" between the two companies but deferred details to legal processes. Prediction market data from Kalshi indicated a 41% probability of a merger occurring before March 1, 2027, rising to 45% by May 2027. Gene Munster of Deepwater Asset Management raised his personal odds of a tie-up to 90% following the call. Meanwhile, competitor Waymo is reportedly weighing an exit from its partnership with Uber Technologies Inc., citing increasing competition and opposing lobbying efforts on state robotaxi policies. Waymo currently operates more than 3,800 vehicles across 10 cities following a $16 billion raise in February at a $126 billion valuation.
How will the margin compression from missing EPS estimates impact Tesla's ability to fund the capital-intensive rollout of Cybercab and Optimus Bot production?
What regulatory hurdles might Tesla face in deploying its robotaxi fleet if Musk's prediction that self-driving cars could initially worsen traffic congestion proves accurate?
Could the reported overlap between Tesla and SpaceX lead to a merger that alters Tesla's valuation model from an automaker to a broader AI and robotics conglomerate?

































