Qualcomm CEO says custom silicon wins to drive December quarter revenue

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Reviewed by
Ashish TScanX News Team
Key Highlights

Qualcomm CEO reveals two custom silicon wins will generate revenue in the December quarter, with wafer production started and HBC Gen 1 tape-out complete. Automotive sales are projected to reach ~ $7B annually by FY26 exit, while Snapdragon powers ~ 70% of Samsung flagships.

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Qualcomm CEO announced that two near-term custom silicon wins will begin generating revenue in the December quarter, marking a significant milestone for the chipmaker’s diversified portfolio. The company has already initiated wafer production on these custom silicon projects, signaling immediate commercial traction. This development underscores Qualcomm’s expanding role beyond traditional mobile processors into specialized hardware solutions, directly impacting near-term revenue streams.

Custom Silicon Progress

The executive confirmed that Qualcomm has completed the tape-out of its High-Bandwidth Cache (HBC) Gen 1 architecture. Tape-out is a critical step in semiconductor manufacturing, indicating that the design is finalized and ready for fabrication. With wafer production now active on the custom silicon wins, the company is positioned to deliver these chips to customers within the current fiscal cycle. The revenue recognition in the December quarter suggests that these deals are not only signed but are entering their initial fulfillment phases.

Automotive Growth Outlook

Qualcomm also provided an updated outlook for its automotive segment, projecting annualized sales of approximately $7B exiting FY26. This figure reflects the growing adoption of Qualcomm’s digital cockpit and autonomous driving technologies in global vehicle platforms. The trajectory indicates sustained momentum in the automotive sector, which has become a key growth pillar for the company alongside its core wireless infrastructure business.

Samsung Partnership Strength

The CEO reaffirmed the strength of Qualcomm’s relationship with Samsung, noting that Snapdragon processors power approximately 70% of Samsung’s flagship devices. This high penetration rate highlights the entrenched nature of Qualcomm’s technology in one of the world’s largest smartphone manufacturers. The partnership remains a stable revenue driver, providing a counterbalance to the volatility often seen in custom silicon development cycles.

Metric Detail
Custom Silicon Revenue Timing December Quarter
HBC Gen 1 Status Tape-out Completed
Wafer Production Status Begun
Automotive Sales Target (FY26 Exit) ~ $7B Annualized
Samsung Flagship Share ~ 70%

What the Numbers Show

The simultaneous progress in custom silicon and automotive segments illustrates a strategic diversification away from pure-play smartphone dependency. While the Samsung partnership ensures baseline stability with a 70% flagship share, the new custom silicon revenues and the $7B automotive target represent higher-growth vectors. The completion of the HBC Gen 1 tape-out further validates Qualcomm’s ability to execute complex, next-generation designs, reducing execution risk for future custom orders.

How might the initial revenue from custom silicon in the December quarter influence Qualcomm's gross margins compared to its standard Snapdragon product lines?

What specific automotive OEM partnerships or new platform integrations are driving the projected $7B annualized sales target by FY26?

Could the success of HBC Gen 1 tape-out accelerate Qualcomm's adoption in AI server or edge computing markets beyond mobile and automotive sectors?

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Qualcomm Q3 Results: Analysts raise targets ahead of July 29 report

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Reviewed by
Anirudha BScanX News Team
Key Highlights

Qualcomm reports Q3 earnings on July 29 with expected EPS of $2.22 and revenue of $9.67 billion. Despite projected declines from the prior year, analysts including Benchmark and TD Cowen have raised price targets. A new partnership with Samsung aims to drive growth in wearable and smartphone segments.

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Qualcomm Incorporated (NASDAQ: QCOM) will report its third-quarter financial results after the closing bell on Wednesday, July 29. The San Diego-based semiconductor company faces scrutiny from investors as consensus estimates point to a contraction in profitability compared to the previous year. Analysts project quarterly earnings per share of $2.22, down from $2.77 in the year-ago period. Revenue is expected to reach $9.67 billion, a decrease from the $10.37 billion reported last year. These figures suggest a challenging operating environment, making the upcoming earnings call critical for assessing the company’s strategic trajectory amid shifting demand dynamics.

Market sentiment reflected this cautious outlook as Qualcomm shares fell 4.2% to close at $162.88 on Tuesday. Despite the recent price decline and lower earnings expectations, institutional analysts have revised their valuation models upward for several firms. This divergence between near-term earnings pressure and long-term valuation adjustments highlights the market’s focus on future growth drivers rather than immediate quarterly performance.

Ahead of the earnings release, Qualcomm expanded its strategic partnerships to bolster its position in the consumer electronics sector. On July 22, the company announced an expanded collaboration with Samsung to integrate Snapdragon technology into new Galaxy lineup smartphones, watches, and intelligent eyewear. This move aims to secure recurring revenue streams from high-volume device manufacturers, potentially offsetting softness in other segments.

Analyst Ratings and Price Targets

Several highly accurate analysts have adjusted their outlooks for Qualcomm in recent weeks. The following table summarizes key rating changes and price target revisions:

Analyst Firm Analyst Name Rating New Price Target Previous Target Date
Benchmark Cody Acree Buy $300 $225 June 25, 2026
Barclays Tom O’Malley Underweight $245 $150 June 25, 2026
UBS Timothy Arcuri Neutral $235 $170 June 25, 2026
Mizuho Vijay Rakesh Neutral $210 $170 June 29, 2026
TD Cowen Joshua Buchalter Buy $225 $200 July 13, 2026

Benchmark analyst Cody Acree, who holds an 88% accuracy rate, set the most aggressive target at $300. TD Cowen’s Joshua Buchalter maintained a Buy rating with a $225 target, citing continued strength in core connectivity businesses. Conversely, Barclays’ Tom O’Malley maintained an Underweight rating despite raising his target to $245, indicating caution regarding valuation multiples.

What the Numbers Show

The divergence between expected earnings declines and rising analyst price targets suggests a structural shift in how the market values Qualcomm’s assets. While revenue is projected to fall by approximately $700 million year-over-year, the significant upward revisions in price targets imply that analysts anticipate margin expansion or improved cash flow generation in subsequent quarters. The expanded partnership with Samsung serves as a tangible catalyst for this optimism, providing visibility into future device shipments. Investors should monitor management’s commentary on gross margins and capital allocation during the earnings call to validate these optimistic valuations against the softer top-line guidance.

How might the expanded Samsung partnership influence Qualcomm's gross margins and recurring revenue stability in the next two fiscal quarters?

Will management's commentary on capital allocation and cash flow generation justify the significant upward revisions in analyst price targets despite near-term earnings contraction?

To what extent can growth in the automotive and IoT segments offset the projected decline in smartphone-related revenue for the upcoming year?

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