SBS Law joins probe into Alphabet over AI delays and capex hike

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Reviewed by
Riya DScanX News Team
Key Highlights

Two law firms are investigating Alphabet Inc. for potential securities fraud after the company's stock dropped significantly due to delays in its Gemini 3.5 Pro AI model and a hike in capital expenditure guidance to $195-$205 billion.

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Schall, Brown & Schwartz LLP ("SBS") has announced it is investigating potential securities law violations on behalf of investors of Alphabet Inc. (NASDAQ: GOOG). This marks the second major law firm to join the scrutiny of Alphabet’s recent disclosures, following an earlier investigation launched by Pomerantz LLP. The combined inquiries focus on whether the company and its officers issued false or misleading statements regarding artificial intelligence development timelines and capital allocation strategies during a period of significant market volatility. Investors who purchased Alphabet stock between July 16, 2026, and July 23, 2026, are advised to contact either firm to discuss their rights, as these dates mark significant declines linked to negative operational updates.

The investigation centers on two key events that triggered sharp declines in Alphabet’s share price in July 2026. On July 16, 2026, reports emerged that Google was "months behind schedule on delivering Gemini 3.5 Pro," its flagship AI model. This disclosure cited disappointing results from an attempt to improve the model's skills by updating training data late last month. Following this news, Alphabet’s stock price fell $16.40 per share, or 4.4%, closing at $353.81 per share.

Further pressure mounted when Alphabet released its second quarter 2026 financial results on July 22, 2026. The company announced a significant expansion of its expected full-year 2026 capital expenditures to $195 billion to $205 billion. Additionally, Alphabet disclosed a negative free cash flow of $5.9 billion for the quarter. Management stated that due to a supply-constrained environment, it plans to expand the use of third-party capacity in Q3 as a bridging strategy, noting this would create modest margin pressure in the near term.

Date Event Stock Price Change Closing Price
July 16, 2026 Reports of Gemini 3.5 Pro delays -$16.40 (-4.4%) $353.81
July 23, 2026 Q2 FY26 results and capex hike -$23.57 (-6.89%) $318.34

On July 23, 2026, following the release of the financial results, Alphabet’s stock price fell another $23.57 per share, or 6.89%, to close at $318.34 per share.

What the Numbers Show

The divergence between Alphabet’s aggressive AI ambitions and its execution reality appears to be the core concern for investors. The expansion of capital expenditure guidance to as high as $205 billion, coupled with a quarterly negative free cash flow of $5.9 billion, indicates substantial cash burn. The reliance on third-party capacity to bridge supply constraints further highlights execution risks that may impact near-term margins, a factor not fully priced in prior to these disclosures.

How might the dual investigations by SBS and Pomerantz LLP influence Alphabet's future disclosure practices regarding AI development timelines?

What impact could the reliance on third-party capacity to bridge supply constraints have on Alphabet's long-term margin structure and competitive advantage in AI infrastructure?

Will the significant increase in capital expenditure guidance to $205 billion deter institutional investors from holding Alphabet stock amid concerns over negative free cash flow?

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BNP Paribas keeps Outperform on Alphabet, sets $420 target

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Reviewed by
Jubin VScanX News Team
Key Highlights

BNP Paribas maintains an Outperform rating on Alphabet Inc. with a $420 price target, citing strong AI-driven growth in advertising and cloud segments. Analyst Nick Jones notes that while rising depreciation from new data-center capacity may pressure near-term margins, the company's current valuation undervalues its long-term AI infrastructure advantages. Other firms like JPMorgan and TD Cowen also hold bullish ratings.

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Alphabet Inc. (NASDAQ: GOOG, GOOGL) shares declined nearly 2% on Tuesday as mega-cap technology stocks weakened, with the Nasdaq falling 0.13% and the S&P 500 slipping 0.08%. Despite the broader market dip, BNP Paribas analyst Nick Jones maintained an Outperform rating on the stock, setting a $420 price forecast. The analyst argued that Alphabet is well-positioned to benefit from artificial intelligence demand, supported by healthy advertising trends and rising cloud adoption.

Jones based the $420 target on a 30-times 2027 estimated price-to-earnings multiple, suggesting that the current 2027 estimated P/E of about 23 times underestimates the company's strengths across infrastructure, models, distribution, consumer adoption, enterprise use, and digital advertising. "We continue to view Alphabet as well positioned to be an AI winner," Jones said.

AI And Cloud Demand Support Investment

The analyst noted that Alphabet's AI and cloud demand continues to support elevated investment levels. Alphabet has reiterated plans for a significant increase in fiscal 2027 capital spending. Jones highlighted that depreciation may become uneven as new data-center capacity comes online, potentially impacting near-term margins. Additionally, the company expects some Tensor Processing Unit (TPU) sales this year, with most sales anticipated in 2027. These TPUs are viewed as a mechanism to open new markets and expand Alphabet's total addressable market.

Advertising Trends Remain Healthy

Underlying advertising trends remain strong, benefiting from AI integration. Alphabet stated that AI is improving targeting, relevance, and measurement while helping small and medium-sized businesses optimize creative content. In Search, AI allows users to ask more complex questions, providing ad systems with more opportunities to understand intent and tailor ads over time.

Margins Face Depreciation Pressure

Several one-time items affected second-quarter margins, including a $1.5 billion legal fine recorded in Google Services general and administrative expenses and a digital-services tax reversal benefit. Jones warned that rising depreciation from new capacity coming online will pressure margins, even as cloud backlog, enterprise AI adoption, and advertising demand strengthen the longer-term outlook.

Analyst Ratings Summary

Other Wall Street firms have also adjusted their views on Alphabet recently:

Analyst Firm Rating Price Forecast
BNP Paribas Outperform $420
JPMorgan Overweight $420
TD Cowen Buy $475
Oppenheimer Outperform $400

The stock carries a consensus Buy rating with an average price forecast of $418.60. At the time of publication, GOOG shares were trading at $349.82, down 1.69% for the day.

Top ETF Exposure

Alphabet holds significant weight in several major ETFs, meaning inflows or outflows from these funds could drive automatic buying or selling:

  • Principal Focused Blue Chip ETF (NASDAQ: BCHP): 9.35% Weight
  • State Street Communication Services Select Sector SPDR ETF (NYSE: XLC): 8.89% Weight
  • Motley Fool 100 Index ETF (BATS: TMFC): 8.64% Weight

How might the anticipated uneven depreciation from new data-center capacity impact Alphabet's near-term profit margins relative to its AI-driven revenue growth?

To what extent could the projected 2027 TPU sales diversify Alphabet's revenue streams and reduce reliance on traditional advertising and cloud services?

Will the integration of AI in Search significantly alter ad pricing dynamics or click-through rates for small and medium-sized businesses in the coming quarters?

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