Nebius stock rises after NVIDIA discloses 9.3% passive stake

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Key Highlights

Nebius Group N.V. stock rose nearly 7% after NVIDIA disclosed a 9.3% passive stake via an SEC filing, including shares and warrants. A $775 million debt facility also bolstered sentiment. Analysts maintain a Buy rating with a $230.45 target ahead of August earnings.

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Nebius Group N.V. stock gained nearly 7% in Tuesday’s premarket trading after NVIDIA Corp. disclosed a passive stake in the AI cloud infrastructure company. The filing revealed beneficial ownership of 22.26 million Class A ordinary shares, representing 9.3% of the class. This disclosure renewed focus on NVIDIA’s strategic relationship with Nebius, including a $2 billion investment announced in March.

NVIDIA Stake Details

An SEC filing showed NVIDIA’s position includes 1.19 million shares previously reported in its Form 13F for the quarter ended March 31, 2026. The remaining 21.07 million shares are issuable through a pre-funded warrant acquired on March 11, 2026. NVIDIA cannot exercise the warrant before September 11, 2026, and cannot sell the shares underlying the warrant before that date. The warrant may be exercisable within 60 days of July 13 under SEC beneficial ownership rules.

Debt Financing Eases Dilution Concerns

Investor sentiment improved after Nebius closed a $775 million senior secured debt facility. The financing helped ease concerns about potential equity dilution as Nebius continues expanding its AI infrastructure. Nebius is a vertically integrated cloud provider focused on AI and high-performance computing, designing and operating its own data centers and servers across Europe and the U.S. with total capacity of several hundred megawatts.

Technical and Analyst Outlook

From a longer-term trend view, NBIS is holding a bullish structure with the 50-day SMA above the 200-day SMA. The stock remains well above its 200-day SMA ($138.21) and 200-day EMA ($149.29). However, the current price is trading 13.8% below both the 20-day SMA ($224.72) and 50-day SMA ($224.58). The next major catalyst arrives with the August 6, 2026 earnings report, where analysts estimate a loss of 73 cents per share on revenue of $576.67 million.

Analyst Rating Price Target Date
Northland Capital Markets Outperform $410.00 July 20
Bank of America Securities Buy $280.00 June 8
Freedom Capital Markets Buy $200.00 July 20

The stock carries a Buy rating with an average price forecast of $230.45. Nebius Group shares were up 6.94% at $195.30 during premarket trading on Tuesday.

How will NVIDIA's strategic influence shape Nebius's roadmap for GPU acquisition and proprietary chip development?

Can Nebius sustain its expansion momentum without further equity dilution following the $775 million debt facility?

What impact will the inability to exercise warrants before September 2026 have on NVIDIA's long-term voting power and governance?

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Nebius secures $775M debt facility for AI cloud expansion

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Reviewed by
Radhika SScanX News Team
Key Highlights

Nebius Group N.V. entered into a $775 million senior secured debt facility to accelerate its AI cloud build-out, backed by deployed GPU infrastructure and contracted cash flows. The facility, maturing October 31, 2030, was led by MUFG and covers over 100% of required capital expenditure. Additionally, Nebius introduced an asset-light model where partners finance data centers, and shares rose 4.42% to $185.57.

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Nebius Group N.V. (NASDAQ: NBIS) has entered into its first senior secured debt facility for approximately $775 million to accelerate the global build-out of its full-stack AI cloud platform. The capital injection is backed by deployed GPU infrastructure and contracted cash flows from an agreement with an investment-grade customer, demonstrating the company's ability to fund growth at attractive terms. Following the announcement, Nebius shares rose 4.42% to $185.57.

Financing Structure and Terms

The facility matures on October 31, 2030, and is priced at SOFR + 2.50%. Together with cash flows under the customer agreement, the facility covers more than 100% of the capital expenditure required to deploy the underlying GPU infrastructure. This structure allows Nebius to convert an operational infrastructure asset into growth capital, providing a repeatable framework for asset-level financing on other long-term customer deployments. The transaction was significantly oversubscribed and led by MUFG as Structuring Agent, Sole Bookrunner, and Underwriter.

Strategic Growth and Customer Commitments

With more than $40 billion of additional contracted revenue from investment-grade customers such as Microsoft Corporation and Meta Platforms, Inc. already in place, Nebius expects to raise more capital at similarly attractive terms. The company recently delivered the latest planned capacity tranche to Microsoft and remains on track to deliver the remaining tranches consistent with the contracted schedule. Nebius also secured a contract worth more than $1 billion to provide Reflection AI with computing capacity through 2029.

Asset-Light Expansion Model

Nebius recently introduced a model under which partners finance and operate data centers while the company provides its AI cloud platform and software. This strategy is consistent with Nebius’s focus on building a sustainable, profitable business through disciplined financing and a strong balance sheet. Arkady Volozh, founder and CEO of Nebius, stated that the new asset-light model gives infrastructure partners a flexible way to benefit from the explosive growth of AI.

Syndicate and Technical Outlook

MUFG, together with ABN AMRO Bank N.V., Bank of America, Deutsche Bank and HSBC acted as Mandated Lead Arrangers. Citi, Crédit Agricole CIB, ING, and Morgan Stanley acted as Senior Lead Arrangers, while Goldman Sachs also participated in the syndicate.

Level Type Value
Resistance Rebound ceiling $173.27 to $174.01
Support Nearby floor $137.52

How will Nebius leverage this financing structure to secure future capital for its remaining $40 billion in contracted revenue?

What impact will the new asset-light model have on Nebius's long-term profit margins and capital efficiency?

Can Nebius maintain its current pricing advantage if interest rates rise significantly before the facility matures in 2030?

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