Micron Technology stock rises as Gartner forecasts $1.6 trillion semiconductor revenue
- Micron Technology stock rose 2.03% to $928.80 in premarket trading amid positive market sentiment
- Gartner forecasts worldwide semiconductor revenue to jump 92% to $1.6 trillion in 2026
- Memory revenue expected to surge to $837.3 billion in 2026, driven by AI infrastructure investment
- Analysts project Micron earnings of $31.26 per share for the Sept. 22 report, up from $3.03 prior year
- The stock holds significant weight in major semiconductor ETFs like SOXX and SPMO

*this image is generated using AI for illustrative purposes only.
Micron Technology Inc. (NASDAQ: MU) shares rose 2.03% to $928.80 in Tuesday’s premarket trading, supported by upbeat broader market sentiment and optimistic industry forecasts.
Nasdaq futures climbed 0.92%, while S&P 500 futures gained 0.46%. The stock movement aligns with a powerful memory-market cycle highlighted by recent research from Gartner.
Gartner Forecasts Semiconductor Revenue Surge
Gartner expects worldwide semiconductor revenue to jump 92% to about $1.6 trillion in 2026 from $809 billion in 2025. The firm projects the market will reach roughly $1.9 trillion in 2027.
Director Analyst Ben Lee stated that sustained AI infrastructure investment and stronger-than-expected memory pricing are accelerating industry growth. Gartner expects AI data centers to represent 36.5% of semiconductor revenue in 2026 and more than 53% by 2030.
Memory Market Expansion
Gartner forecasts memory revenue will surge from $220.1 billion in 2025 to $837.3 billion in 2026. Memory could account for 54% of total semiconductor revenue this year, up sharply from 27% in 2025.
The firm expects DRAM revenue to climb 246.6% in 2026, while NAND flash revenue could jump 371.9%. This outlook places Micron, Samsung Electronics Co. Ltd. (OTC: SSNLF), and SK hynix Inc. (NASDAQ: SKHY) in focus, as these companies dominate global DRAM and NAND production.
Technical Analysis
Micron remains above key short-term trend indicators. The stock is about 3.8% above its 20-day simple moving average (SMA) of $896.75 and near its 20-day exponential moving average of $926.76.
The intermediate trend is mixed. Micron trades about 3.4% below its 50-day SMA of $962.88 but remains well above its 100-day and 200-day averages, keeping the longer-term uptrend intact.
The relative strength index stands at 48.54, signaling neutral momentum. The 20-day SMA remains below the 50-day SMA, a bearish short-term signal, while the 50-day SMA stays above the 200-day SMA, supporting the longer-term bullish trend.
Key resistance stands at $1,012, with support near $891.50.
Earnings And Analyst Outlook
Micron’s next major catalyst could arrive with its estimated Sept. 22 earnings report. Analysts expect earnings of $31.26 per share, up from $3.03 a year earlier. They project revenue of $50.78 billion, compared with $11.31 billion last year.
The stock carries a Buy consensus rating with an average price forecast of $1,525. New Street Research upgraded Micron to Buy on Aug. 14 with a $1,250 price forecast. Citigroup maintained a Buy rating on Aug. 7 but lowered its forecast to $1,150. KeyBanc maintained an Overweight rating on July 14 and raised its forecast to $1,750.
ETF Exposure
Micron carries significant weight in major semiconductor funds:
| ETF Name | Ticker | Weight |
|---|---|---|
| iShares Semiconductor ETF | SOXX | 7.98% |
| Invesco S&P 500 Momentum ETF | SPMO | 9.81% |
| Invesco PHLX Semiconductor ETF | SOXQ | 7.82% |
Because MU carries such a heavy weight in these funds, any significant inflows or outflows for these ETFs will likely force automatic buying or selling of the stock.
How might the projected 246% surge in DRAM revenue impact Micron's capacity expansion plans and capital expenditure in 2026?
Could the heavy weighting of Micron in major semiconductor ETFs lead to increased volatility if broader market sentiment shifts away from AI infrastructure plays?
What are the potential risks to Gartner's $1.6 trillion semiconductor revenue forecast if AI data center investment growth slows down before 2030?

































