McCormick Q3FY26 Results: EPS forecast down to 76 cents, revenue seen at $1.98 billion
- McCormick & Company reports Q3FY26 earnings on October 1
- Consensus EPS estimated at 76 cents, down from 85 cents YoY
- Revenue forecast at $1.98 billion versus $1.72 billion prior year
- TD Cowen downgrades stock to Hold, cuts target to $55
- JP Morgan cuts target to $62, maintains Overweight rating

*this image is generated using AI for illustrative purposes only.
McCormick & Company (NYSE: MKC) will release third-quarter fiscal year 2026 earnings before the opening bell on Thursday, October 1. Analysts project quarterly earnings of 76 cents per share, a decline from 85 cents per share in the year-ago period.
The consensus estimate for MKC’s quarterly revenue stands at $1.98 billion. This compares to $1.72 billion reported in the corresponding quarter last year, according to Benzinga Pro data. The company is scheduled to host its earnings call following the pre-market release.
Analyst revisions and ratings
Several analysts have adjusted their outlooks on McCormick shares in recent weeks. TD Cowen analyst Robert Moskow downgraded the stock from Buy to Hold and reduced the price target from $60 to $55 on September 14, 2026. This analyst maintains an accuracy rate of 64%.
JP Morgan analyst Thomas Palmer maintained an Overweight rating but cut the price target from $63 to $62 on September 18, 2026. Palmer’s accuracy rate is recorded at 50%. UBS analyst Peter Grom kept a Neutral rating while raising the price target from $51 to $52 on June 26, 2026, with an accuracy rate of 61%. BTIG analyst Rob Dickerson initiated coverage with a Neutral rating on April 14, 2026, holding a 66% accuracy rate.
Recent performance context
On June 25, McCormick reported second-quarter results that exceeded Wall Street expectations. Shares of the Hunt Valley, Maryland-based company gained 1.1% to close at $49.42 on Tuesday.
| Analyst | Firm | Rating | Price Target | Date | Accuracy |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Thomas Palmer | JP Morgan | Overweight | $62 (from $63) | Sept 18, 2026 | 50% |
| Robert Moskow | TD Cowen | Hold (from Buy) | $55 (from $60) | Sept 14, 2026 | 64% |
| Peter Grom | UBS | Neutral | $52 (from $51) | June 26, 2026 | 61% |
| Rob Dickerson | BTIG | Neutral | N/A | April 14, 2026 | 66% |
What the numbers show
The divergence between the projected revenue growth and the declining EPS forecast suggests potential margin compression or increased operational costs in the upcoming quarter. While consensus revenue estimates imply a significant increase over the prior year's $1.72 billion, the expected drop in earnings per share from 85 cents to 76 cents indicates that profitability may not scale linearly with top-line growth.
How will McCormick's guidance on gross margin recovery for the fourth quarter influence analyst price target adjustments following the earnings release?
To what extent will input cost inflation and logistics expenses drive the projected 10.6% year-over-year decline in earnings per share despite strong top-line growth?
Will the divergence between TD Cowen's downgrade and JP Morgan's maintained Overweight rating signal a broader sector-wide revaluation of consumer staples stocks?


























