Kohl's raises FY26 adj EPS guidance to $1.80-$2.40 after Q2 results

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Key Highlights
  • Kohl's raises FY26 adj EPS guidance to $1.80-$2.40, beating $1.43 consensus
  • Q2 FY26 diluted EPS was $1.28; net sales fell 0.9% to $3.3 billion
  • Gross margin expanded 305 bps YoY to 43.0%, aided by $100M in tariff refunds
  • Company restarts share buyback program with up to $100 million authorization
  • Long-term debt decreased $195M YoY; cash reserves rose to $821 million
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Kohl's (NYSE: KSS) raised its full-year adjusted earnings per share (EPS) guidance for FY26 to $1.80-$2.40, following second-quarter results that saw gross margins expand significantly despite a slight decline in net sales.

The retailer reported diluted EPS of $1.28 for the quarter ended August 1, 2026, compared to $1.35 in the prior year period. Net sales decreased 0.9% year-over-year to $3.3 billion, with comparable sales also down 0.9%. However, gross margin as a percentage of net sales rose by 305 basis points to 43.0%, driven in part by approximately $100 million in tariff refunds flowing through the line item.

Guidance Adjustment

The company’s updated financial trajectory reflects a more optimistic view of both top-line and bottom-line performance. By raising the floor of its EPS guidance by $0.80 from the previous $1.00-$1.60 range, Kohl's ensures that even its most conservative scenario exceeds analyst projections. The revised outlook now sits entirely above the consensus estimate of $1.43.

Simultaneously, Kohl's raised its sales guidance floor to $15.294 billion, maintaining the upper bound at $15.527 billion. This range exceeds the $14.891 billion consensus estimate.

Metric Previous Guidance Revised Guidance Consensus Estimate
Adj EPS Low End $1.00 $1.80 $1.43
Adj EPS High End $1.60 $2.40 N/A
Sales Low End $15.216 billion $15.294 billion $14.891 billion
Sales High End $15.527 billion $15.527 billion N/A

Second Quarter Performance

Operating income was $261 million, down from $279 million in the prior year quarter, representing a 7.4% operating margin, a decrease of 45 basis points. Selling, general and administrative (SG&A) expenses decreased 0.9% year-over-year to $1.2 billion, remaining consistent at 33.8% of total revenue.

Inventory levels stood at $2.9 billion, a 3% decrease year-over-year. Operating cash flow was $552 million, compared to $598 million in the prior year. The company also received approximately $150 million in tariff refunds during the quarter.

For the first half of FY26, net sales decreased 1.2% year-over-year to $6.3 billion. Diluted EPS for the six-month period was $1.18, compared to $1.23 in the prior year.

Capital Allocation

Kohl's announced it is restarting its share repurchase program, authorizing up to $100 million in buybacks in 2026 under its existing $3 billion authorization. The Board of Directors also declared a quarterly cash dividend of $0.125 per share, payable September 23, 2026.

Long-term debt decreased by $195 million compared to the prior year, primarily driven by $113 million of debt repurchased at a discount of $15 million.

What the Numbers Show

The significant expansion in gross margin (+305 bps) contrasts with the decline in net sales (-0.9%), suggesting that cost management and tariff refunds are currently offsetting top-line softness. While operating income declined slightly due to lower sales volume, the stability of SG&A as a percentage of revenue indicates disciplined expense control. The restart of share repurchases signals management confidence in the balance sheet, which has seen long-term debt reduction and increased cash reserves ($821 million vs $174 million prior year).

To what extent will the one-time $100 million in tariff refunds continue to support gross margins in subsequent quarters, and what is the underlying organic margin trajectory without this windfall?

How does Kohl's plan to leverage its improved balance sheet and cash reserves to drive top-line growth given the persistent 0.9% decline in comparable sales?

What specific operational or strategic initiatives is Kohl's implementing to reverse the trend of declining operating income despite stable SG&A percentages?

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