Keysight Q3 revenue beats; analysts raise price targets on AI demand

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Key Highlights

Keysight Technologies Inc. (NYSE: KEYS) reported Q3 fiscal 2026 revenue of $1.85 billion, beating estimates by $110 million. Non-GAAP EPS was $3.07 vs $2.48 estimate. Analysts from Baird, Susquehanna, Wells Fargo, Barclays, and Truist raised price targets. FY26 guidance was raised to $7.095 billion.

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Keysight Technologies Inc. (NYSE: KEYS) delivered a strong third-quarter fiscal 2026 performance, reporting revenue of $1.85 billion, which exceeded the consensus estimate of $1.74 billion and represented a 37% increase from the $1.35 billion recorded in the prior-year period. The Santa Rosa-based electronic design automation and test equipment provider also reported non-GAAP net income of $531 million, or $3.07 per share, significantly beating the analyst expectation of $2.48 per share.

The company highlighted a robust demand environment, noting that orders surpassed $2 billion for the second consecutive quarter, reaching $2.09 billion with a 56% year-over-year increase. This order momentum supports management’s improved full-year outlook. GAAP net income was $397 million, or $2.30 per share, compared to $191 million, or $1.10 per share, in the third quarter of 2025.

Segment Performance

Growth was broad-based across Keysight’s two primary reporting segments, with the Communications Solutions Group (CSG) leading the charge.

  • Communications Solutions Group (CSG): Revenue reached $1.345 billion, up 43% year-over-year. This growth was driven by a 56% increase in commercial communications and a 14% rise in aerospace, defense, and government sectors. CSG operating margin expanded to 34% from 26% in the prior-year period. Wireline revenue exceeded wireless revenue for the first time, driven by AI infrastructure scaling.
  • Electronic Industrial Solutions Group (EISG): Revenue grew 21% to $501 million, reflecting gains across semiconductor, general electronics, automotive, and energy markets. EISG operating margin improved to 31% from 22% a year earlier.

Strategic Drivers: AI and 6G

Management emphasized that strategic focus on AI infrastructure, advanced semiconductors, and next-generation communications is driving growth. In commercial communications, wireline delivered record orders, more than doubling year-over-year, supported by rapid scaling of the AI infrastructure ecosystem. The company noted significant growth opportunities in 6G, with the industry's first standard targeted for March 2029, driving customer investment in AI-RAN and integrated sensing and communication solutions.

Analyst Ratings And Price Targets

Several top-rated analysts have recently adjusted their outlooks for Keysight, reflecting confidence in the company’s trajectory following its strong Q3 performance and subsequent guidance upgrades.

  • Baird analyst Richard Eastman maintained an Outperform rating and raised the price target from $385 to $410.
  • Susquehanna analyst Mehdi Hosseini (81% accuracy) maintained a Positive rating and lifted the price target from $425 to $440.
  • Wells Fargo analyst Aaron Rakers maintained an Overweight rating and raised the price target from $390 to $405.
  • Barclays analyst Tim Long maintained an Overweight rating and boosted the price target from $387 to $429.
  • Truist Securities analyst Matthew Niknam (65% accuracy) maintained a Hold rating but boosted the price target from $376 to $400.
  • Morgan Stanley analyst Meta Marshall upgraded the stock from Equal-Weight to Overweight on July 13, 2026, raising the price target from $350 to $400. Marshall holds an accuracy rate of 67%.
  • JP Morgan analyst Samik Chatterjee (87% accuracy) maintained an Overweight rating and raised the price target from $360 to $390 on May 21, 2026.
  • Citigroup analyst Atif Malik (86% accuracy) maintained a Buy rating and increased the price target from $320 to $396 on May 21, 2026.

Financial Health And Outlook

Keysight generated free cash flow of $403 million in the quarter, up from $291 million in the prior-year period. As of July 31, 2026, the company held cash, cash equivalents, and restricted cash totaling $2.62 billion. The company repurchased approximately 640,000 shares at an average price of $326 per share for a total consideration of $210 million, bringing fiscal 2026 year-to-date share repurchases to $517 million.

Looking ahead, Keysight expects fourth-quarter fiscal 2026 revenue to range between $1.930 billion and $1.950 billion, with the midpoint representing approximately 37% year-over-year growth. This range beats the analyst estimate of $1.81 billion. Non-GAAP earnings per share for the fourth quarter are projected to be between $3.34 and $3.40, surpassing the $2.70 analyst estimate.

The company increased its fiscal 2026 sales guidance from the previous range of $6.826 billion to $6.934 billion to $7.095 billion, versus the $6.884 billion estimate. Keysight projects fiscal 2026 adjusted EPS of $11.46, compared with the $10.24 analyst estimate.

What The Numbers Show

The divergence between the actual non-GAAP EPS of $3.07 and the consensus estimate of $2.48 highlights a significant beat of $0.59 per share, driven primarily by higher-than-expected revenue volume and operating leverage. The expansion in operating margins for both CSG (from 26% to 34%) and EISG (from 22% to 31%) indicates that the company is effectively converting top-line growth into bottom-line profitability, validating the institutional confidence reflected in recent analyst upgrades. The shift in CSG mix, with wireline surpassing wireless revenue for the first time, underscores the accelerating impact of AI infrastructure investments on the company's core communications business.

Shares of Keysight dipped 6.1% to trade at $320.13 on Wednesday.

Disclaimer: This article is AI-generated using data from ViewTrade. ScanX is not liable for any inaccuracies.

How sustainable is the current margin expansion in the Communications Solutions Group as wireline revenue continues to outpace wireless, and could this shift alter long-term capital allocation strategies?

With 6G standards not targeted until March 2029, what specific near-term revenue streams will Keysight rely on to maintain growth momentum between now and that regulatory milestone?

Given the recent 6.1% stock dip despite strong earnings beats, are investors pricing in potential saturation in AI infrastructure spending or broader macroeconomic headwinds?

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Keysight Techs raises FY26 sales guidance to $7.095 billion

scanx
Reviewed by
Jubin VScanX News Team
Key Highlights

Keysight Technologies raises FY26 adjusted EPS guidance to $11.46, beating the $10.24 estimate. Sales outlook is increased to $7.095 billion, up from the prior range of $6.826B-$6.934B and above the $6.884B estimate.

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Keysight Technologies (NYSE: KEYS) has upgraded its financial outlook for fiscal year 2026, signaling stronger-than-expected demand for its electronic design automation and test and measurement solutions.

The company now expects adjusted earnings per share (EPS) of $11.46 for FY26, significantly exceeding the consensus analyst estimate of $10.24. This represents a beat of $1.22 per share against market expectations.

Guidance Revisions

Keysight also revised its top-line revenue guidance upward. The new sales outlook stands at $7.095 billion for the full fiscal year. This marks an increase from the previously communicated range of $6.826 billion to $6.934 billion.

The updated sales figure also surpasses the external analyst estimate of $6.884 billion, indicating that management’s internal visibility into order flow and conversion rates has improved relative to broader market assumptions.

Metric New Guidance Previous/Estimate Variance
Adjusted EPS (FY26): $11.46 $10.24 (Est) +$1.22
Sales Outlook (FY26): $7.095 billion $6.826B-$6.934B (Prev) Raised
Sales vs Estimate: $7.095 billion $6.884 billion (Est) +$0.211 billion

What the Numbers Show

The divergence between the new guidance and both prior internal ranges and external estimates suggests a material shift in near-term business momentum. By raising the midpoint of its sales range by approximately $169 million above the upper bound of its previous guidance ($6.934 billion), Keysight is reflecting either accelerated deal closures or higher average selling prices in key segments. The EPS beat of roughly 12% against estimates further implies that cost discipline or margin expansion is supporting the top-line growth, rather than growth being driven solely by volume increases at the expense of profitability.

Disclaimer: This article is AI-generated using data from ViewTrade. ScanX is not liable for any inaccuracies.

Which specific end-markets, such as AI infrastructure or 5G expansion, are primarily driving the accelerated demand for Keysight's test and measurement solutions?

How might Keysight's improved margin expansion influence its capital allocation strategy, particularly regarding share buybacks versus R&D investment in FY26?

Will competitors like Tektronix or Rohde & Schwarz adjust their own guidance or pricing strategies in response to Keysight's stronger-than-expected market visibility?

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