Constellation Brands Q2 preview: Stock hits 11-year lows ahead of earnings

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Key Highlights
  • STZ shares hit an 11-year low of $110.60, down 20.8% YTD
  • Analysts forecast Q2 EPS of $3.57 and revenue of $2.54 billion
  • Experts warn against buying during downtrend despite recent earnings beats
  • Berkshire Hathaway exited its entire stake in the company in Q2
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Constellation Brands, Inc. shares hit an 11-year low on Monday as investors brace for second-quarter earnings after the closing bell on Tuesday, October 6.

The stock fell to $110.60, levels last seen in January 2015, and is down 20.8% year-to-date in 2026. Despite the price decline, the company currently offers an annual dividend yield of 3.65%, translating to a quarterly payout of $1.03 per share, or $4.12 annually. This yield provides a baseline for income-focused investors assessing the stock's value ahead of the report.

Dividend income calculations

To generate a monthly dividend income of $500, an investor would need to own approximately 1,456 shares. This calculation is derived from a yearly target of $6,000 ($500 x 12 months) divided by the annual dividend of $4.12. At current price levels, this position requires an investment of roughly $164,339.

For a more conservative goal of $100 monthly ($1,200 annually), the requirement drops to 291 shares, or an investment of approximately $32,845.

It is important to note that dividend yields fluctuate based on both stock price movements and changes in the dividend payment itself. If the stock price rises while the dividend remains constant, the yield decreases. Conversely, if the company increases its dividend payment, the yield rises even if the share price stays flat.

Price action and analyst estimates

Constellation Brands shares closed at $113.82 on Monday, up 0.84%, after hitting the intraday low of $110.60. Analysts expect the company to report quarterly earnings of $3.57 per share, down from $3.63 per share a year ago. The consensus estimate for quarterly revenue is $2.54 billion, compared to $2.48 billion reported last year.

Metric Estimate Prior Year Change
EPS $3.57 $3.63 -1.7%
Revenue $2.54 billion $2.48 billion +2.4%

On June 30, the company reported better-than-expected first-quarter financial results and raised its FY27 GAAP EPS guidance. The company has beaten analyst estimates for revenue in four straight quarters and in eight of the last 10 quarters overall. Similarly, it has beaten EPS estimates in four straight quarters and nine of the last 10.

Expert warnings and analyst ratings

Freedom Capital Chief Market Strategist Jay Woods noted that while the stock rallied after five of the past six earnings reports, current technicals are in "uncharted territory." Woods warned that "trying to catch a falling knife is a dangerous proposition" given the downtrend. He highlighted relief targets at $121 and $127, but warned of potential downside to $100 if the $111 support level breaks.

Recent analyst actions reflect mixed sentiment on price targets:

  • Wells Fargo: Maintained Overweight rating, lowered price target from $170 to $140
  • RBC Capital: Maintained Outperform rating, with price target of $185
  • JPMorgan: Maintained Neutral rating, lowered price target from $166 to $133
  • UBS: Maintained Buy rating, lowered price target from $168 to $145

Key items to watch

Investors are watching whether demand for Modelo and Corona has improved following a difficult stretch for beer sales. Constellation Brands, which imports beer to the U.S., has been impacted by tariffs on Mexico and Canada. Additionally, Berkshire Hathaway completely exited its stake in the alcohol company in the second quarter, removing a major institutional holder.

What the numbers show

A divergence exists between top-line growth and bottom-line expectations. While revenue is projected to rise 2.4% to $2.54 billion, EPS is forecast to decline 1.7% to $3.57. This suggests that despite higher sales, margin pressures or increased costs may be impacting profitability per share in the upcoming quarter. Furthermore, the stock's 20.8% year-to-date decline contrasts sharply with its consistent earnings beats, indicating that market concerns regarding demand trends and macroeconomic headwinds are outweighing operational performance metrics.

Disclaimer: This article is AI-generated using data from ViewTrade. ScanX is not liable for any inaccuracies.

How might the complete exit of Berkshire Hathaway's stake influence future institutional ownership trends and stock volatility for Constellation Brands?

Will potential easing of tariffs on Mexican imports be sufficient to restore Modelo and Corona demand growth in the upcoming fiscal quarters?

Could the divergence between rising revenue and declining EPS indicate a structural shift in Constellation Brands' cost management or pricing power?

Constellation Brands to report Q2FY27 results on Oct 6

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Reviewed by
Suketu GScanX News Team
Key Highlights
  • Constellation Brands to report Q2FY27 results on Oct 6, 2026
  • Conference call scheduled for Oct 7, 2026, at 8:00 am ET
  • CEO Nicholas Fink and CFO Garth Hankinson to discuss outlook
  • Earnings release available on investor relations website
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Constellation Brands, Inc. (NYSE: STZ) will report financial results for its second quarter ended August 31, 2026, on Tuesday, October 6, 2026, after the close of U.S. markets.

The earnings release, including financial tables and supporting materials, will be posted on the company’s investor relations website at ir.cbrands.com.

Conference Call Details

A live conference call for analysts to discuss the results, operating performance, strategic initiatives, and financial outlook will be hosted at 8:00 am ET on Wednesday, October 7, 2026. President and Chief Executive Officer Nicholas Fink and Executive Vice President and Chief Financial Officer Garth Hankinson will lead the discussion.

Participants can access the call by dialing +1-877-407-9121 and entering conference identification number 13762634. A live, listen-only webcast will be available on ir.cbrands.com under the News & Events section. Financial information discussed during the call, along with reconciliations of GAAP measures to non-GAAP measures, will be posted under the Financial History section. A replay will also be available for those unable to participate live.

Business Overview

Constellation Brands is a leading international producer and marketer of beer, wine, and spirits with operations in the U.S., Mexico, New Zealand, and Italy. Its portfolio includes imported beer brands such as Corona Extra, Modelo Especial, Pacifico, and Victoria; wine brands including The Prisoner Wine Company, Robert Mondavi Winery, and Kim Crawford; and craft spirits like Mi CAMPO Tequila and High West Whiskey.

Disclaimer: This article is AI-generated using data from ViewTrade. ScanX is not liable for any inaccuracies.

How might shifting consumer preferences toward premium imported beers like Corona and Modelo impact Constellation Brands' volume growth in the U.S. market for the upcoming fiscal year?

What strategic initiatives will CEO Nicholas Fink highlight regarding margin expansion amidst potential supply chain volatility in Mexico and Italy?

Will Constellation Brands adjust its full-year guidance based on Q2 performance, particularly concerning the competitive landscape in the craft spirits segment?

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