Bank of America raises Ferrari target on manual V12 launch
Bank of America raised Ferrari's price target to $458, driven by the launch of the limited-edition 12Cilindri Manuale. The firm adjusted volume expectations for the new manual V12 and the electric Luce, noting the manual model's higher margins. Analysts project earnings growth outpacing luxury peers, with second-quarter results due on July 30.

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Bank of America analyst Horst Schneider raised the price objective on Ferrari N.V. to $458 from $403, implying roughly 21% upside from the last trade of $384.97. The upgrade follows the July 3 unveiling of the 12Cilindri Manuale, a limited-edition special series capped at 1,499 units and priced from €590,000 in Italy. First deliveries for the vehicle are slated for the first quarter of 2027.
V12 launch offsets EV concerns
The 12Cilindri Manuale retains the naturally aspirated 6.5-liter V12 rated at 830 horsepower. It incorporates a Manuale by-wire system, pairing a clutch pedal and open-gate lever with the underlying eight-speed dual-clutch transmission to replicate an analog driving feel. Chief Executive Benedetto Vigna had previously indicated the model would blend heritage with future technology.
Schneider framed the launch as a response to design debates surrounding Ferrari's first battery-electric model, the Luce. The analyst reduced the Luce volume assumption to about 500 units a year from roughly 1,000. Conversely, he added approximately 500 units a year for the Manuale across 2027 to 2029. As both models are priced similarly, the revenue offset is nearly exact, though the Manuale carries a margin above the group average, potentially skewing earnings positively.
Analyst ratings and market position
The Bank of America target of $458 sits above a cluster of recent Street valuations but trails UBS, which set a Street-high target of $497 on July 2. Morgan Stanley upgraded Ferrari to Overweight from Equal-Weight on June 15, arguing the post-Luce selloff was excessive. JP Morgan maintains an Overweight rating with a $447 target, while Goldman Sachs initiated coverage at Buy with a $454 target. Ferrari N.V. shares remain about 25% below the record high of $519.10 reached nearly a year ago.
| Firm | Rating | Price Target ($) |
|---|---|---|
| UBS | Buy | 497 |
| Bank of America | - | 458 |
| Goldman Sachs | Buy | 454 |
| JP Morgan | Overweight | 447 |
Earnings outlook and guidance
Ferrari is scheduled to report second-quarter results on July 30. Bank of America models a 30.5% operating margin for the quarter, compared to a consensus of 30.6% and an improvement from 29.7% in the first quarter. This margin expansion is expected to be driven by a richer product mix and slightly higher average prices, supported by the ramp of the F80 supercar and 296 Speciale. Volumes are anticipated to slip modestly year over year as the 296 GTB phases out and new models like the Amalfi and 849 Testarossa begin phasing in.
Schneider lifted earnings estimates for 2027 and 2028, projecting compound earnings-per-share growth of about 9% through 2030. This exceeds Ferrari's own mid-term guidance of about 6% and edges ahead of luxury peer Hermès. The firm raised its terminal growth assumption to 3.75% from 3.5% and increased the valuation premium applied to luxury peers to 25% from 20%. Investors await the July 30 report for further details on order intake for the Luce.
Will the strong demand for the 12Cilindri Manuale prompt Ferrari to increase production caps beyond the current 1,499 units?
How will the reduced volume assumption for the Luce EV impact Ferrari's long-term electrification strategy and regulatory compliance?
Can Ferrari sustain the projected 9% EPS growth through 2030 if consumer preference shifts further toward internal combustion engines over EVs?


























