Morgan Stanley initiates coverage on Applied Digital at $36.5
Morgan Stanley analyst Stephen Byrd initiated coverage on Applied Digital with an Equal-Weight rating and a price target of $36.5. The company's shares recently rose 4.61% to $26.98, supported by technical factors and upcoming earnings. Applied Digital projects a wider loss for the quarter but maintains a long-term goal of $1 billion in NOI.

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Morgan Stanley analyst Stephen Byrd has initiated coverage on Applied Digital Corporation (NASDAQ: APLD) with an Equal-Weight rating and a price target of $36.5. This rating comes as the company's shares recently rose 4.61% to $26.98, buoyed by an oversold technical setup and a bullish Benzinga Edge Momentum score. The stock is recovering from a recent downtrend, with investors focusing on the company's upcoming fiscal fourth-quarter earnings report scheduled for July 27.
Earnings Preview & History
Applied Digital is expected to report a loss of 36 cents per share for the quarter, widening from a loss of three cents year-over-year. Revenue is projected to rise to $91.91 million, up from $38.01 million in the same period last year. For the prior quarter, the company reported earnings per share of $0.09, beating the consensus estimate of a loss of 17 cents per share, with revenue of $126.60 million exceeding the consensus estimate of $77.11 million. Applied Digital has beaten EPS estimates in seven consecutive quarters.
Strategic Outlook
In its most recent quarterly earnings report, Applied Digital reiterated its confidence in exceeding its long-term goal of $1 billion in Net Operating Income (NOI) within five years. The company remains focused on building a world-class data center region in the Dakotas with multiple hyperscalers while expanding into other strategic locations. Management stated that every new campus is intended to create a 15- to 30-year revenue stream backed by strong credits.
Technical Analysis
The chart indicates a clear downtrend on intermediate timeframes, with the stock trading 22.9% below its 20-day Simple Moving Average (SMA), 33.2% below its 50-day SMA, and 17.4% below its 200-day SMA. The Relative Strength Index (RSI) is at 26.30, placing the stock in oversold territory. While the 50-day SMA remains above the 200-day SMA, suggesting a constructive longer-term backdrop, the 20-day SMA sitting below the 50-day SMA keeps the near-term trend bearish until the price can reclaim key moving-average zones.
| Metric | Value |
|---|---|
| Key Resistance | $29.00 |
| Key Support | $24.00 |
| RSI | 26.30 |
Benzinga Edge Rankings
Applied Digital holds a Benzinga Edge Momentum score of 82.08, indicating a bullish profile despite the recent drawdown. This momentum-driven profile suggests traders will watch closely to see if the oversold bounce can build into a trend reversal or fade as price runs into overhead resistance near $29.00.
What specific metrics from the upcoming fiscal Q4 earnings report will be most critical for Applied Digital to validate its $1 billion Net Operating Income target?
How might the expected widening of net losses impact the company's ability to secure financing for its expansion into the Dakotas and other strategic locations?
Will the stock need to sustain a break above the $29 resistance level to trigger a broader trend reversal given the current bearish short-term moving averages?































