Wells Fargo raises Amazon target to $313 on AWS strength
Wells Fargo analyst Ken Gawrelski maintained an Overweight rating on Amazon.com and raised the price target to $313. The update comes as investors assess Prime Day sales pull-forward effects and a 20% price increase on select AWS GPU workloads. Analysts see these factors supporting a stronger second-half growth story despite near-term timing noise.

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Wells Fargo analyst Ken Gawrelski maintained Amazon.com with an Overweight rating and raised the price target to $313 from $312, as investors weigh a Prime Day sales pull-forward against fresh pricing power in Amazon Web Services. The firm sees stronger June retail data and a 20% price increase on select AWS GPU workloads as setting up a cleaner second-half growth story. Amazon stock was down 0.86% at $238.07 at the time of publication Tuesday, having declined about 10.6% over the past month versus a 1.6% decline in the S&P 500.
Prime Day Performance and Consumer Behavior
Adobe Analytics data show U.S. online retail spend during the Prime Day window at roughly $26.4 billion, up 9% year over year. This result lines up with Bank of America’s expectation for mid-single-digit global GMV growth as some international events move into the third quarter. Discounts were broadly similar to last year, but Numerator data flagged an 11% drop in average order value on Amazon and softer satisfaction scores, pointing to a customer shift toward everyday essentials and grocery rather than big-ticket items. Even with smaller baskets, BofA still expects Amazon’s North America retail segment to slightly beat Street estimates for about 14% year-over-year growth.
The catch for near-term traders is timing. Bank of America estimates around $7 billion to $8 billion of sales likely shifted into the second quarter from the third quarter due to this year’s Prime Day schedule, creating potential noise around Amazon’s Q3 outlook even if full-year fundamentals remain intact.
AWS Price Hike and Analyst Outlook
On the cloud side, Amazon quietly announced a roughly 20% price increase effective July 1 for EC2 Capacity Blocks tied to GPU-heavy machine-learning workloads, following a prior 15% hike in January. Bank of America’s work suggests effective prices paid by customers have already risen from 2022 trough levels, and the new adjustment should add an estimated 1–2 percentage points to second-half AWS growth. Beyond core capacity, the firm points to ramping commitments from OpenAI and Anthropic on AWS infrastructure, reinforcing a view that Amazon is leaning into AI demand with greater pricing discipline.
BofA flags some risks including tougher competition from offline and local retailers, cloud share battles in advanced AI and heavy AWS investment that could pressure margins if macro conditions soften. Still, with solid Prime Day demand and AWS asserting pricing power in AI workloads, Amazon’s stock remains a key name to watch as the market balances short-term guidance noise against a strengthening multi-year thesis.
How will the $7 billion to $8 billion sales pull-forward from Q3 impact Amazon's ability to meet third-quarter revenue expectations?
Can AWS sustain its pricing power in GPU-heavy workloads amidst intensifying competition from Microsoft Azure and Google Cloud?
Will the shift toward everyday essentials and lower average order values during Prime Day persist as a long-term consumer trend?






























