Gold Targets $4,900, Silver Eyes $95 as Global Tensions Drive Precious Metals Rally
Surendra Mehta from IBJA projects gold reaching $4,900.00 and silver targeting $95.00, driven by geopolitical tensions and US policy uncertainties. Strong ETF inflows support gold while physical demand drives silver premiums in Dubai ($3.00) and Iran ($2.00). Indian markets show significant premiums with MCX gold ₹1,200.00 higher and silver ₹6,000.00 above global benchmarks. Mehta recommends buying on dips, expecting metals to remain firm until major powers resolve economic and geopolitical differences.

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Gold and silver prices continue their relentless climb with global uncertainty providing strong support for the precious metals rally. Surendra Mehta, Secretary of the India Bullion and Jewellers Association, projects ambitious price targets driven by a combination of geopolitical tensions and policy-related concerns.
Bullish Price Projections
Mehta has set clear targets for both precious metals, expressing confidence in their continued upward momentum. His analysis points to multiple factors supporting these projections, including regional tensions and economic uncertainties.
| Metal | Current Target | Extended Target | Timeframe |
|---|---|---|---|
| Gold | $4,900.00 | Not specified | Ongoing |
| Silver | $95.00 | $110.00 | Next 60-90 days if $95.00 crossed |
Key Market Drivers
The precious metals rally stems from multiple global factors creating sustained demand pressure. Mehta identifies rising tensions in Iran, Venezuela, and Greenland as primary geopolitical catalysts. Additional support comes from weak and mixed US job data, higher planned tariffs by the US government, and recent politically sensitive developments related to the US Federal Reserve.
Gold is attracting significant buying interest through exchange-traded funds, including strong inflows from India. Silver demonstrates heavy physical demand across global markets, particularly in China and Dubai, where supply tightness is evident through premium pricing.
Regional Premium Indicators
Global silver markets are showing clear signs of supply constraints through premium pricing in key trading hubs:
| Region | Silver Premium |
|---|---|
| Dubai | Nearly $3.00 |
| Iran | Around $2.00 |
Indian Market Dynamics
Domestic Indian prices reflect the global strength in precious metals, with significant premiums over international benchmarks. MCX gold trades approximately ₹1,200.00 higher than global levels, while silver commands nearly ₹6,000.00 premium. In dollar terms, gold shows strength of around $40.00, with silver up $2.50-3.00 compared to global benchmarks.
Mehta emphasizes that India remains a price taker rather than price discoverer in global gold and silver markets, limiting the country's influence on international pricing dynamics.
Market Outlook and Strategy
Mehta does not anticipate sharp corrections in precious metals prices, suggesting any pullbacks will be limited. He advises that short-term price dips should be viewed as buying opportunities rather than selling triggers. The expert believes meaningful price cooling requires clarity on US policy direction, while China's restrictions on silver exports and Russia's stance on oil and gold holdings maintain supply-side concerns.
According to Mehta, precious metals will likely remain firm as long as major global powers including China, Russia, and the US fail to find common ground on key economic and geopolitical issues. This fundamental backdrop supports his bullish outlook and reinforces the strategic value of treating market dips as accumulation opportunities.















































