Railway Stocks in Focus as Budget 2026 Eyes 15% Capex Rise in FY26

2 min read     Updated on 01 Feb 2026, 10:37 AM
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Overview

Railway stocks are gaining attention ahead of Union Budget 2026, with analysts projecting 15% growth in railway capex for FY26. The budget impact is expected to be stock-specific, favoring companies with strong execution capabilities. RITES leads PSU recommendations while Titagarh Rail Systems attracts non-PSU interest. Ancillary stocks like CG Power, HBL Power and Kernex Microsystems could benefit from advanced signalling and Kavach system allocations.

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Railway-linked stocks are expected to remain in focus around Union Budget 2026, amid expectations of continued government spending on infrastructure and policy continuity in the railways sector. According to NDTV Profit while markets are not anticipating major surprises on allocation front, analysts believe sustained capital expenditure will continue to support select railway stocks.

Projected Capital Expenditure Growth

Railway capital expenditure is projected to rise by around 15% in FY26, reinforcing the government's corridor-led approach to capacity creation, asset modernisation and multimodal connectivity. The positive sentiment around railway equities is underpinned by the broader infrastructure thrust outlined in the Economic Survey, which points to record capital outlays, rapid network expansion and near-universal electrification.

Key Focus Areas: Details
Capex Growth: 15% rise projected in FY26
Priority Areas: Execution, safety upgrades, capacity expansion
Approach: Corridor-led capacity creation
Infrastructure Focus: Asset modernisation, multimodal connectivity

Stock-Specific Investment Opportunities

Market participants note that the Budget's impact on railway stocks is likely to be stock-specific rather than sector-wide. Companies with robust order books, strong execution capabilities and visibility on future projects are expected to outperform, while a broad-based re-rating across the sector appears unlikely as much of the optimism is already reflected in current valuations.

Public Sector Undertakings

Among public sector undertakings, RITES is seen as a preferred pick due to its consultancy-led business model and close alignment with government-driven railway and infrastructure projects.

Non-PSU Segment

In the non-PSU segment, Titagarh Rail Systems is drawing attention as a key beneficiary of rolling stock demand, supported by ongoing capacity expansion and export opportunities.

Ancillary Stocks and Technology Focus

Railway-linked ancillary stocks, particularly those exposed to signalling, safety systems and train protection technologies, are expected to attract investor interest. The following companies could benefit from higher allocations:

Company: Focus Area
CG Power: Advanced signalling systems
HBL Power: Electronic interlocking
Kernex Microsystems: Kavach automatic train protection system

Brokerage firms, including Axis Securities, have highlighted that station redevelopment and safety upgrades are likely to remain key budget priorities. Faster implementation of economic railway corridors under PM GatiShakti, along with wider adoption of Kavach 4.0 and advanced signalling systems, is expected to shape execution strategies in the coming years.

Market Outlook

Analysts say the Union Budget 2026 will be closely watched for cues on policy stability and the government's long-term commitment to railway modernisation. The sustained focus on infrastructure development and technological upgrades positions select railway stocks as potential beneficiaries of continued government spending in the sector.

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Union Budget 2026: FM Emphasizes Global Resilience Amid Volatile Dynamics

3 min read     Updated on 01 Feb 2026, 10:06 AM
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Overview

Finance Minister Nirmala Sitharaman delivers her ninth consecutive Union Budget presentation, highlighting India's need to build resilience against volatile global dynamics and respond to changing global environment. The budget focuses on structural reforms and economic growth while markets remain open, with significant impact expected across sectors including capital markets, railways, automotive, banking, insurance, and renewable energy.

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Finance Minister Nirmala Sitharaman has begun presenting the Union Budget 2026 in Parliament, marking her ninth consecutive Union Budget presentation in the Lok Sabha. The Finance Minister emphasized that India needs to build resilience to "volatile global dynamics," indicating that the budget appears focused on responding to a changing global environment. She highlighted the need for structural reforms in government approach while focusing on boosting and maintaining economic growth to ensure India stays connected with global markets. Stock markets are maintaining a full trading session despite the Sunday schedule, with announcements during the budget presentation expected to significantly impact multiple stocks and sectors across the Indian market.

Capital Markets and Brokerage Sector

Any potential reduction in Long-term Capital Gains Tax (LTCG) or Securities Transaction Tax (STT) could positively impact capital market-linked companies by increasing market participation. The brokerage sector stands to benefit significantly from such policy changes.

Sector Impact: Potential Beneficiaries
Brokerage Services: Motilal Oswal, Angel One, Anand Rathi Shares & Stock Brokers
Wealth Management: Groww, Nuvama Wealth Management, 360 ONE WAM

Railways and Infrastructure Development

Railway stocks, which have declined from their mid-2024 record highs, could benefit from higher sector allocations and new project announcements. The sector presents multiple investment opportunities across various segments including rolling stock, infrastructure development, and safety systems.

Railway Segment: Key Stocks
Rolling Stock: Titagarh Rail, Texmaco Rail, BEML
Infrastructure Development: Rail Vikas Nigam (RVNL), IRCON, RITES
Financing: IRFC
Safety & Security: HBL Power, Kernex Microsystems, KEC International, CG Power, RailTel, Siemens
Metro Projects: Siemens, ABB India, BEML, HUDCO

Increased spending on KAVACH and other safety systems, along with higher metro project allocations, could drive significant sector growth.

Automotive Sector Opportunities

Higher budgetary allocation for Pay Commission revisions could trigger increased consumer demand across the automotive sector. Goldman Sachs previously highlighted Maruti Suzuki as the biggest potential beneficiary of eighth pay commission implementation.

Auto Segment: Potential Beneficiaries
Passenger Vehicles: Maruti Suzuki India, Hyundai Motor India, Tata Motors PV
Two-Wheelers: Bajaj Auto, Hero MotoCorp, TVS Motors
Electric Vehicles: Ola Electric, Tata Motors, M&M, JBM Auto
Rural/Tractor Segment: Mahindra & Mahindra, Swaraj Engines, Escorts Kubota

Banking and Financial Services

Enhanced support for MSME Credit Guarantee Schemes could benefit major lenders, while rural development measures may boost specialized financial services companies. The sector also awaits potential tax benefits on banking deposits.

Key beneficiaries include:

  • Major Banks: SBI, PNB, HDFC Bank, ICICI Bank, Axis Bank, Bank of India, Bank of Baroda, Canara Bank
  • NBFCs: Bajaj Finance, L&T Finance, Shriram Finance, M&M Financial Services

Insurance Sector Reforms

The insurance sector awaits potential reforms including Section 80CCD expansion for pension schemes and separate term insurance deductions. However, any push towards the new tax regime could negatively impact the sector, as it excludes insurance exemptions.

Insurance Type: Key Players
Life Insurance: HDFC Life, SBI Life, ICICI Prudential Life, Max Financial Services, LIC
General Insurance: Star Health, Niva Bupa, ICICI Lombard, New India Assurance

Power and Renewable Energy Sector

Renewable energy allocations and power sector reforms present significant opportunities across multiple segments of the power industry.

Power Segment: Key Stocks
Renewable Energy: Tata Power, JSW Energy, Suzlon Energy, Torrent Power
Power Financing: REC, PFC, IREDA
Transmission: Power Grid, Indigrid InvIT, Power Grid InvIT

Additional sectors to watch include PLI scheme extensions for mobile manufacturing benefiting Dixon Technologies, consumer durables companies like LG Electronics India, Voltas, and Blue Star from pay commission allocations, BharatNet program expansion impacting Havells, KEI Industries, and Polycab, and potential fuel duty changes affecting oil marketing companies HPCL, BPCL, IOC and city gas distributors IGL, MGL, Gujarat Gas.

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