Motilal Oswal Sets ₹74 Target for Suzlon Energy, Sees 54% Upside Potential
Motilal Oswal maintains buy rating on Suzlon Energy with ₹74 price target, representing 54% upside potential despite recent market pressures from wind sector concerns. The brokerage expects additional wind demand of 20-24 GW by 2030 from data centers and C&I consumers, while the company's EPC strategy and superior execution track record provide competitive advantages for capturing large-scale projects.

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Suzlon Energy has received a strong vote of confidence from Motilal Oswal, with the brokerage maintaining its buy recommendation and setting a price target of ₹74, representing a potential upside of 54% from current levels as of January 20.
Brokerage Outlook and Market Concerns
Motilal Oswal's analysis comes at a time when Suzlon Energy shares have faced pressure due to multiple market concerns. The brokerage identified key investor worries including cannibalization of wind's share in tenders from the solar segment, slow pace of wind installations, and rising competitive intensity in the wind sector.
| Current Challenges: | Impact |
|---|---|
| Solar segment cannibalization | Reduced wind tender share |
| Slow wind installation pace | Delayed project execution |
| Competitive intensity | Margin pressure |
Despite these headwinds, Motilal Oswal believes the concerns are already reflected in the current stock price, creating a favorable risk-reward scenario for investors.
Growth Drivers and Market Opportunity
The brokerage highlighted significant growth potential beyond India's targeted 100 GW wind capacity by FY2030. Data centers, Commercial & Industrial (C&I) consumers, and Public Sector Undertakings (PSUs) are expected to drive incremental wind demand of 20-24 GW by 2030.
| Growth Segments: | Projected Demand |
|---|---|
| Data Centers | Part of 20-24 GW |
| C&I Consumers | Part of 20-24 GW |
| PSUs | Part of 20-24 GW |
| Total Incremental Demand | 20-24 GW by 2030 |
Strategic Positioning and Competitive Advantages
Suzlon Energy's strategy to scale up its Engineering, Procurement, and Construction (EPC) share to 50% of its order book provides a meaningful competitive advantage. The company's superior execution track record compared to domestic peers, coupled with limited participation of Chinese Original Equipment Manufacturers (OEMs) in the EPC space, positions it favorably for complex and large-scale projects.
Regarding the current project pipeline, out of 40 GW projects with pending Power Purchase Agreements (PPAs), industry channel checks suggest nearly 17 GW are pure solar projects, with wind accounting for a negligible share.
Export Potential and Future Capacity
Management sees exports emerging as an additional growth driver, with orders expected in early FY2027 and supplies starting from FY2028. Suzlon Group's Executive Vice Chairman Girish Tanti, speaking at the World Economic Forum in Davos, outlined ambitious capacity expansion plans.
| Capacity Timeline: | Target |
|---|---|
| Next Two Years | Cross 10 GW mark |
| By 2030 | 13-15 GW capacity |
| Manufacturing Support | 20 GW annual capacity |
Analyst Consensus and Stock Performance
Suzlon Energy enjoys strong analyst support, with all nine covering analysts maintaining buy ratings, making it a consensus buy. However, the stock has faced recent volatility, ending 1% lower at ₹47.94 on Monday and trading 37% below its 52-week high of ₹74.47, which coincidentally matches Motilal Oswal's price target.
The brokerage's bullish stance reflects confidence in the company's strategic positioning and long-term growth prospects in India's expanding renewable energy sector, despite near-term market challenges.
Historical Stock Returns for Suzlon Energy
| 1 Day | 5 Days | 1 Month | 6 Months | 1 Year | 5 Years |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| -3.42% | -5.81% | -11.88% | -28.77% | -20.23% | +642.63% |













































