Motilal Oswal Sets ₹657 Target for JSW Energy on Strong Renewable Pipeline
Motilal Oswal maintains BUY rating on JSW Energy with ₹657 target price following plant visit to Vijaynagar facility. Company doubled operational capacity from 7.2GW to 13.2GW, commissioned green hydrogen and floating solar projects, and reduced merchant exposure to ~5%. With 17.2GW pipeline (74% secured under PPAs) and 29.4GWh energy storage capacity, brokerage projects 49% EBITDA and 31% PAT CAGR over FY25-28E.

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Motilal Oswal has issued a BUY rating on JSW Energy with a target price of ₹657, representing a 34% upside potential. The recommendation follows the brokerage's plant visit to the company's Vijaynagar facility on January 7-8, 2026, where the company showcased its green hydrogen and floating solar projects.
Operational Capacity Expansion
JSW Energy has demonstrated strong execution capabilities by significantly expanding its operational footprint. The company's capacity growth highlights its robust project implementation:
| Parameter: | Details |
|---|---|
| FY24 End Capacity: | 7.2GW |
| 2QFY26 Capacity: | 13.2GW |
| Growth: | Nearly doubled |
| Target by FY30: | 30GW |
Green Hydrogen and Solar Initiatives
The company has commissioned two significant renewable energy projects at its Vijaynagar facility. The 5,000 m³/hour green hydrogen plant was commissioned in November 2025 for captive consumption by JSW Group's adjacent steel plant. However, green hydrogen economics remain challenging, with current costs hovering around USD 3.5-4/Kg compared to the USD 2-2.5/Kg level required for mass-scale commercialization.
The 20MW floating solar plant, commissioned in September 2025, represents a novel approach that eliminates land acquisition requirements and provides natural cooling benefits. This cooling effect boosts generation by slowing down module degradation, though internal rates of return remain broadly similar to ground-mounted solar plants.
Project Pipeline and Financial Stability
JSW Energy's strategic positioning is strengthened by its substantial project pipeline and improved cash flow stability:
| Metric: | Value |
|---|---|
| Project Pipeline: | 17.2GW |
| Secured under Long-term PPAs: | ~74% |
| Merchant Exposure: | ~5% of installed base |
| Energy Storage Capacity: | 29.4GWh (locked-in) |
| Energy Storage Target by FY30: | 40GWh |
The significant reduction in merchant exposure to approximately 5% of the installed base substantially enhances cash flow stability, while the majority of the pipeline being secured under long-term power purchase agreements provides revenue visibility.
Financial Projections
Motilal Oswal's positive outlook is driven by the company's strong, PPA-backed renewable pipeline. The brokerage has projected robust financial growth over the forecast period:
| Growth Metric: | FY25-28E CAGR |
|---|---|
| EBITDA: | 49% |
| PAT: | 31% |
These projections reflect the expected benefits from the company's expanding renewable energy portfolio and improved operational efficiency. The combination of capacity expansion, reduced merchant exposure, and a substantial secured pipeline positions JSW Energy favorably for sustained growth in the renewable energy sector.
Historical Stock Returns for JSW Energy
| 1 Day | 5 Days | 1 Month | 6 Months | 1 Year | 5 Years |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| +1.74% | -2.32% | +10.55% | -3.13% | -10.55% | +645.59% |
















































