Mindspace Tops Morgan Stanley's REIT Picks as India's Office Market Enters Sweet Spot
Morgan Stanley has upgraded Mindspace Business Parks REIT to overweight, expecting 20.5% FY27 returns as India's office REITs enter a sweet spot with 10% DPU growth. The positive outlook is driven by strong leasing momentum (33% CAGR), expanding GCC demand, and RBI rate cuts totaling 125 basis points since January 2025. Mindspace leads with low leverage and data centre exposure, while Embassy benefits from Bengaluru GCC positioning, though constrained institutional participation remains a sector challenge.

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India's office real estate investment trusts are entering what Morgan Stanley calls a new phase of low-risk, compounding returns, driven by strong leasing momentum, easing interest rates, and sustained demand from global capability centres. FY25 marked a clear inflection point for listed office REITs, with distribution per unit growth of around 10.00% year-on-year — the first such acceleration since their listing.
Market Fundamentals Drive REIT Performance
Morgan Stanley expects distribution per unit to compound at roughly 10.00% annually over the next three years, supported by higher occupancies, new leasable area additions, and the full transmission of rate cuts. India's office market fundamentals remain resilient, with leasing volumes growing at a 33.00% compound annual growth rate over the past two years, while rents have expanded at a 7.00% CAGR.
The structural strength comes from robust GCC demand. According to NASSCOM, the number of GCCs in India is expected to rise from about 1,760 in FY25 to nearly 2,400 by FY30, with market size expanding at a similar pace. This growth trajectory should maintain strong demand for quality office assets.
Interest Rate Environment Provides Additional Support
Lower interest rates add another significant tailwind for REITs. The Reserve Bank of India has cut rates by a cumulative 125 basis points since January 2025, which Morgan Stanley expects to flow through to REIT distributions by FY27. This monetary easing creates a more favorable environment for real estate investment trusts.
Morgan Stanley's Investment Recommendations
Against this positive backdrop, Morgan Stanley has made strategic rating changes across the REIT sector:
| REIT | Rating | Expected FY27 Returns |
|---|---|---|
| Mindspace Business Parks REIT | Overweight (Upgraded) | 20.50% |
| Embassy Office Parks REIT | Overweight (Maintained) | 19.00% |
| Brookfield India Real Estate Trust | Equal-weight | 13.80% |
Mindspace Emerges as Top Pick
Mindspace Business Parks REIT emerged as the top pick due to several compelling factors:
- Low leverage profile providing financial flexibility
- Strong sponsor-led acquisition pipeline
- Data centre exposure offering growth diversification
- High mark-to-market rental upside potential
Embassy Benefits from Strategic Positioning
Embassy Office Parks REIT benefits from dominant exposure to Bengaluru and GCC tenants, which contributed nearly two-thirds of its recent gross rentals. This positioning aligns well with the structural growth in global capability centres.
Brookfield Faces Different Growth Dynamics
Brookfield's growth strategy is more acquisition-led, which could potentially raise leverage levels while offering a less tax-efficient distribution profile compared to its peers.
Challenges Remain Despite Positive Outlook
Despite improving fundamentals, Morgan Stanley identified constrained institutional participation as a lingering challenge for the REIT sector. Regulatory changes, including Securities and Exchange Board of India reclassifying REITs as equities, should help over time, but near-term institutional inflows remain limited. This regulatory evolution represents a key factor for long-term sector development and broader market participation.
Historical Stock Returns for Mindspace Business Parks REIT
| 1 Day | 5 Days | 1 Month | 6 Months | 1 Year | 5 Years |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| +0.00% | +2.94% | -0.98% | +19.26% | +33.86% | +48.31% |
















































