Market Crises Create Investment Opportunities Despite Increased Frequency, Says HDFC AMC's Setalvad
HDFC AMC's Chirag Setalvad views the increased frequency of market crises as investment opportunities, noting that his generation has witnessed 3-4 major crises in 25 years compared to one every 20 years previously. While IPO valuations are becoming more reasonable, markets may remain in consolidation as Indian equities trade above historical averages. Industry experts recommend focusing on NBFCs, public sector banks, consumer discretionary, and IT services sectors for potential opportunities.

*this image is generated using AI for illustrative purposes only.
Market crises have become more frequent due to global interconnectedness, but this trend should be viewed as creating investment opportunities rather than posing threats, according to Chirag Setalvad, Head of Equities at HDFC Asset Management Company. The fund house manages assets worth nearly ₹5,900.00 crore.
Speaking at the 16th India Investment Conference organised by CFA Society India, Setalvad shared insights from his 25-year career in the financial markets. He observed a notable shift in crisis frequency compared to previous generations.
Crisis Frequency and Investment Perspective
| Parameter | Previous Generation | Current Generation |
|---|---|---|
| Crisis Frequency | Once every 20 years | Once every 10 years |
| Career Span | 25 years | 25 years |
| Major Crises Witnessed | Not specified | 3-4 massive crises |
"I think that is really unusual, and that will persist going forward," Setalvad explained. "But is that bad news? No, that's fantastic news. You want crisis events to take place so that we can hopefully take advantage of it." He emphasized that investors should maintain focus on long-term goals and avoid reacting to short-term market fluctuations.
Market Valuations and IPO Trends
Setalvad noted that valuations in initial public offerings are becoming more reasonable, though stock markets may continue in a consolidation phase. He pointed out that investors tend to focus excessively on recent weak performance while overlooking strong long-term returns. "Last five-year returns are still in their 20s," he stated, highlighting that markets have delivered solid gains over extended periods despite recent slowdowns.
Indian equities currently trade above historical averages, with the Nifty, mid-cap, and small-cap indices at premiums to long-term valuations. Setalvad suggested that corrections of 15-20% would be necessary to bring valuations closer to average levels. "Consolidation will continue for some time, until valuations normalise," he added.
Global Factors and Trade Outlook
Setalvad emphasized the significant impact of global developments on Indian markets, noting that capital flows and risk appetite are heavily influenced by developments in the US and other major economies. "What happens outside of India is incredibly important," he observed.
Prashant Khemka, Founder of WhiteOak Capital, addressed expectations regarding India-US trade relations. He indicated that prospects for a near-term India-US trade deal have weakened, stating, "I'd be happy if it is in this calendar year," while acknowledging that recent signals suggest possible delays.
Sector-Specific Investment Opportunities
Vikas Khemani, Founder of Carnelian Asset Management, which manages funds worth ₹9,578.58 crore as of December 31, 2025, recommended focusing on areas with visible earnings growth. He identified several key sectors for investor attention:
| Sector Focus Areas | Investment Rationale |
|---|---|
| NBFCs | Key tracking area with growth potential |
| Public Sector Banks | Remain important for monitoring |
| Consumer Discretionary | Could perform better with improved execution |
| IT Services | Potential upside from order execution and currency trends |
Khemani specifically highlighted that consumer discretionary stocks and information technology services could benefit if order execution improves and currency trends remain supportive. The emphasis on sectors with visible earnings growth reflects a fundamental approach to navigating current market conditions while positioning for future opportunities.




























