Kotak Raises Vedanta Price Target to ₹780, Sees Potential for ₹965 on Metals Rally and Demerger
Kotak Institutional Equities has upgraded Vedanta's price target to ₹780 from ₹650, maintaining a 'buy' rating based on the company's strong exposure to rallying metals markets. With 85% of estimated FY27 EBITDA from aluminium, zinc, and silver, Vedanta is well-positioned to benefit from record-high metal prices. The upcoming demerger and capacity expansions provide additional catalysts, with potential price targets reaching ₹965 at spot prices. Shares hit a record high of ₹675, up 55% over 12 months.

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Vedanta Ltd. has received an upgraded price target from Kotak Institutional Equities, which raised its target to ₹780 from ₹650 while maintaining a 'buy' rating on the Anil Agarwal-owned mining conglomerate. The brokerage believes the company is optimally positioned to capitalize on the ongoing rally in base and precious metals.
Strong Metals Exposure Drives Optimism
Kotak's bullish stance is anchored in Vedanta's significant exposure to high-performing metals segments. The brokerage's analysis reveals that approximately 85% of the company's estimated financial year 2027 Earnings Before Interest, Tax, Depreciation and Amortisation (EBITDA) will be derived from three key metals experiencing strong market conditions.
| Metal Segment: | FY27 EBITDA Contribution | Market Performance |
|---|---|---|
| Aluminium: | 50% | Record high/multi-year highs |
| Zinc: | 20% | Record high/multi-year highs |
| Silver: | 15% | Record high/multi-year highs |
| Total Exposure: | 85% | Strong rally across segments |
All three metals are currently trading at either record high levels or multi-year highs in global markets, providing a favorable backdrop for Vedanta's revenue generation.
Capacity Expansion and Demerger Benefits
The brokerage highlighted additional growth drivers beyond the metals rally. Vedanta's planned capacity increases across multiple business segments, including aluminium, zinc, and power, over financial years 2027 and 2028 are expected to provide further momentum for the stock price.
The company's proposed demerger exercise represents another significant catalyst. Kotak expects Vedanta to achieve all necessary clearances soon, with the demerger process anticipated to begin in the fourth quarter of the current financial year and conclude in phases by the first quarter of financial year 2027.
Revised Financial Projections
Based on these positive developments, Kotak has increased its EBITDA estimates for Vedanta:
| Financial Year: | EBITDA Estimate Increase |
|---|---|
| FY27: | +8.70% |
| FY28: | +6.90% |
| Next FY (at spot prices): | +19.00% |
The brokerage expects value unlocking from higher multiples in the aluminium and power divisions as a result of the demerger. At current spot prices, Kotak anticipates Vedanta's share price target could reach ₹965.
Market Performance and Analyst Sentiment
Vedanta shares demonstrated strong performance, closing 6% higher on Friday at a record high of ₹675. The stock has delivered impressive returns, gaining 55% over the past 12 months.
Analyst sentiment remains overwhelmingly positive, with none of the 14 analysts covering Vedanta maintaining a 'sell' rating. The analyst community is divided between 10 'buy' ratings and four 'hold' recommendations, reflecting broad confidence in the company's prospects.
Historical Stock Returns for Vedanta
| 1 Day | 5 Days | 1 Month | 6 Months | 1 Year | 5 Years |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| +0.07% | +8.69% | +24.40% | +50.88% | +57.05% | +283.36% |
















































