HCLTech Delivers 29% Returns While IT Sector Struggles Through Four-Year Slump
HCLTech delivered 28.86% stock returns from January 2022 to January 2026, significantly outperforming IT sector peers who experienced declines ranging from 6.70% to 25.00%. The company's proactive AI strategy, generating over $246 million in AI revenue, and consistent financial performance with $13.84 billion FY25 revenue have distinguished it in a challenging market environment.

*this image is generated using AI for illustrative purposes only.
HCL Technologies has defied the broader IT sector downturn, delivering exceptional returns while its peers struggled through a challenging four-year period marked by post-pandemic adjustments and automation concerns. The Noida-based company's stock performance has stood out dramatically in an industry that has seen billions in market value disappear as growth prospects dimmed.
Stock Performance Comparison
The performance gap between HCLTech and its competitors tells a compelling story of divergent fortunes in India's $283 billion IT services export industry.
| Company | Stock Performance (Jan 2022 - Jan 2026) |
|---|---|
| HCLTech | +28.86% |
| TCS | -14.20% |
| Infosys | -11.00% |
| Tech Mahindra | -6.70% |
| Wipro | -25.00% |
This divergence highlights a shifting pecking order in the industry, with HCLTech, the nation's third-largest software services provider, outgrowing its peers in two of the last four years.
Financial Performance and Growth Strategy
HCLTech closed FY25 with strong financial metrics that underscored its resilient business model:
| Metric | FY25 Performance |
|---|---|
| Revenue | $13.84 billion |
| Annual Growth | 4.30% |
| Previous Year Growth (2024) | 5.40% |
| FY26 Guidance | 4.00% - 4.50% (constant currency) |
"Among the large-cap companies, we have delivered the highest growth in the last three years, and in the fourth year running, we would probably deliver the highest growth," said HCLTech CEO C. Vijayakumar. "Even though the growth is mid-single digit, it is definitely much higher than some of our peer group."
AI Leadership and Innovation
A critical differentiator for HCLTech has been its proactive stance on Generative AI. In October, the company became the first among the Big Five to report specific AI revenue figures, demonstrating tangible results from its AI investments.
| AI Initiative | Details |
|---|---|
| Total AI Revenue | Over $246 million |
| Key Projects | Agentic AI, AI factories, Physical AI |
| Market Position | First Big Five company to report specific AI revenue |
"We have been much more proactive about the impact of AI and acknowledging that it will be a deflation in some services," Vijayakumar explained. "We focused on what we can do to address it... which, of course, our investors are happy with."
Sector Challenges and Peer Performance
The broader IT sector has faced significant headwinds over the past four years. The pandemic-era euphoria that drove double-digit growth has been replaced by concerns over slowing deal pipelines and potential market disruptions. Wipro exemplifies these struggles, having ended two of the last four years with declining revenue and facing a potential third consecutive decline.
Shareholder Returns Across the Industry
Despite varying stock performance, IT companies have maintained substantial shareholder returns through dividends, buybacks, and bonuses over the four-year period:
| Company | Shareholder Returns (4 years) |
|---|---|
| TCS | ₹1.50 trillion |
| Infosys | ₹69,000 crore |
| HCLTech | ₹51,000 crore |
| Wipro | ₹30,000 crore |
| Tech Mahindra | ₹16,000 crore |
Market Outlook and Recovery Prospects
Analysts anticipate a sector-wide recovery beginning in 2026, with AI services expected to serve as the primary growth engine. Axis Capital analysts suggest that calendar year 2026 could mark a definitive pivot for the industry, ending a streak of disappointing performance. "A combination of growth pickup and currency tailwinds should support margins and earnings upgrades," noted Axis Capital analysts Manik Taneja and Rohit Thorat.
HDFC Securities analysts highlighted that "the Indian IT services sector is positioned for a growth recovery starting in 2026, following a phase of muted performance from 2022 to 2025. The upcoming revival is expected to be underpinned by AI services, which are emerging as the key growth engine." However, for now, HCLTech remains the standout performer that has successfully converted strategic positioning into tangible shareholder value.
Historical Stock Returns for HCL Technologies
| 1 Day | 5 Days | 1 Month | 6 Months | 1 Year | 5 Years |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| +1.11% | +3.33% | +3.94% | +9.85% | -4.21% | +74.92% |
















































