Citi Warns of Regulatory Risks for Petronet LNG, Maintains Sell Rating with ₹260 Target
Citi maintains a 'sell' rating on Petronet LNG with a ₹260 price target, warning of regulatory risks from PNGRB's proposed changes to regasification tariff regulation. The brokerage expects these changes could shift bargaining power to offtakers and pose renegotiation risks for Dahej facility tariffs under the Qatar contract. Despite gaining 1.8% to ₹293.60 on Tuesday, the stock has declined 11.6% over the past year amid regulatory uncertainties.

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Petronet LNG faces potential regulatory headwinds that could impact its business dynamics, according to a recent analysis by Citi. The brokerage firm has raised concerns about shifting regulatory and competitive landscapes that may alter the bargaining power between the company and its offtakers.
Citi's Rating and Price Target
Citi has maintained its "sell" rating on Petronet LNG, setting a price target of ₹260. This target represents a potential downside of approximately 10% from current market levels, reflecting the brokerage's cautious outlook on the company's prospects.
| Rating Details: | Information |
|---|---|
| Current Rating: | Sell |
| Price Target: | ₹260.00 |
| Implied Downside: | 10% |
| Date: | Tuesday, January 6 |
Regulatory Framework Concerns
The Petroleum and Natural Gas Regulatory Board (PNGRB) has published a comprehensive analysis examining various costs across the gas value chain. This analysis covers multiple segments including upstream operations, transmission, marketing, regasification, and taxation components.
PNGRB's recommendations focus on several key areas:
- Modifications to the administered price mechanism (APM) allocation
- Rationalisation of taxes across the value chain
- Enhanced regulation of regasification operations
Citi's analysis suggests that these recommendations clearly demonstrate PNGRB's intention to bring regasification terminals under a formal regulatory framework through the regulation of regasification tariffs.
Potential Impact on Operations
The regulatory changes could pose specific risks to Petronet LNG's operations, particularly regarding its Dahej regasification facility. Citi has identified potential renegotiation risks for the Dahej regasification tariffs, especially in connection with the recently renewed Qatar contract.
These developments could fundamentally alter the competitive dynamics within the regasification sector, potentially shifting bargaining power in favour of offtakers rather than terminal operators.
Analyst Coverage and Market Performance
The stock maintains mixed analyst sentiment across the investment community:
| Analyst Ratings: | Count |
|---|---|
| Buy Ratings: | 14 |
| Hold Ratings: | 10 |
| Sell Ratings: | 9 |
| Total Coverage: | 33 analysts |
Stock Performance
Despite the regulatory concerns highlighted by Citi, Petronet LNG shares showed resilience during Tuesday's trading session. The stock gained 1.8% to reach ₹293.60 per share around 1:30 PM on Tuesday, January 6.
However, the broader performance picture reveals challenges, with the stock declining 11.6% over the past year, indicating ongoing market concerns about the company's operational environment and regulatory landscape.
Historical Stock Returns for Petronet LNG
| 1 Day | 5 Days | 1 Month | 6 Months | 1 Year | 5 Years |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| -3.80% | -0.33% | +3.04% | -7.92% | -14.31% | +9.01% |
















































