Avendus Expects 34% Upside on Indo Count Shares, Issues Reduce Rating on Welspun Living
Avendus initiated coverage on home textile stocks with a 'buy' rating on Indo Count Industries at ₹348 target price (33.7% upside) and 'reduce' rating on Welspun Living at ₹135 target. Both companies face US market challenges with 50% tariffs currently in place, though demand moderation may be cyclical rather than structural according to the brokerage.

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Avendus has initiated coverage on two prominent home textile stocks with divergent recommendations, as both companies navigate challenging US market conditions and ongoing trade negotiations.
Contrasting Stock Recommendations
The brokerage's analysis reveals starkly different outlooks for the two textile majors:
| Stock | Rating | Target Price | Upside Potential |
|---|---|---|---|
| Indo Count Industries | Buy | ₹348 | 33.7% |
| Welspun Living | Reduce | ₹135 | 2.6% |
Indo Count Industries received a 'buy' rating with a target price of ₹348 per share, representing significant upside potential from its previous close. In contrast, Welspun Living was assigned a 'reduce' rating with a price target of ₹135 per share, indicating limited growth prospects.
Market Challenges and Trade Dynamics
Avendus highlighted several macro developments as key factors to monitor, particularly tariff normalization and progress on free trade agreements. Both Indian textile companies face substantial exposure to the US market, where the current administration has imposed 50% tariffs on imports. Trade deal negotiations are currently underway, which could significantly impact future business prospects.
The brokerage noted that falling US imports reflect both demand moderation and inventory rationalization. However, Avendus suggested that the current demand moderation could be cyclical rather than structural, potentially offering hope for future recovery.
Industry Repositioning Strategies
Indian textile players are actively repositioning themselves within the value chain through various strategic initiatives:
- Diversification of product portfolios
- Enhanced branding efforts
- Expansion into new markets and segments
These strategic moves aim to reduce dependency on traditional markets and create more resilient business models amid ongoing trade uncertainties.
Analyst Consensus and Market Performance
The broader analyst community shows mixed sentiment on both stocks:
| Stock | Buy | Hold | Sell |
|---|---|---|---|
| Indo Count | 6 | 2 | 0 |
| Welspun Living | 6 | 4 | 1 |
Market reaction was immediate, with Indo Count Industries shares trading 5.1% higher at ₹273.55, while Welspun Living declined 0.6% to ₹130.76 around 10:35 am on Tuesday. The contrasting price movements reflect investor response to Avendus' differentiated recommendations and the underlying business fundamentals of each company.
Historical Stock Returns for Indo Count Industries
| 1 Day | 5 Days | 1 Month | 6 Months | 1 Year | 5 Years |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| -3.13% | -9.00% | -8.21% | -11.94% | -22.03% | +78.53% |




































