Trade Setup for Today: Key Things to Know Before the Opening Bell on May 15, 2026

3 min read     Updated on 15 May 2026, 08:01 AM
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AI Summary

Indian markets likely to open lower with GIFT Nifty down 176 points at 23,689. While US markets posted gains (Dow +0.74%, NASDAQ +0.88%), Asian indices declined with Nikkei down 1.41%. Commodities under pressure with crude oil falling 2.87% and gold down 1.43%. Strong DII buying of ₹684 crores and positive FII flows of ₹187 crores provide support. Major block deals include Adani Enterprises (₹1,435 crores) amid ongoing US fraud case developments. USD/INR stable at 95.75.

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Global markets are presenting a mixed picture as traders prepare for today's session, with commodity pressures weighing on sentiment while institutional activity shows interesting patterns. Here's what you need to know before the opening bell.

GIFT Nifty Update

SGX Nifty futures are trading at 23,689.00, down 176.00 points or 0.74% from the previous close of 23,865.00. This suggests a cautious start for domestic indices, with the opening likely to be in negative territory.

US Markets

Overnight, US markets delivered a positive performance that could provide some support to global sentiment:

Index Close Change Change %
Dow Jones 50,084.45 +370.24 +0.74%
NASDAQ 26,655.10 +231.76 +0.88%
S&P 500 (E-Mini) 7,499.75 -25.75 -0.34%

The Dow and NASDAQ posted solid gains, though the S&P 500 futures showed some weakness in after-hours trading.

Asian Markets

Asian indices are showing mixed signals this morning:

Index Level Change Change %
Nikkei 225 61,771.09 -882.96 -1.41%
Hang Seng 26,113.90 -275.15 -1.04%
FTSE 100 10,372.93 +47.63 +0.46%

Japanese and Hong Kong markets are under pressure, while London shows resilience.

Commodity Trends

Commodity markets are experiencing significant volatility:

Commodity Price (USD) Change Change %
Crude Oil (WTI) 98.27 -2.90 -2.87%
Gold Futures 4,618.20 -67.10 -1.43%
Silver Futures 81.59 -3.74 -4.39%
Natural Gas 2.94 +0.05 +1.59%
Copper 6.41 -0.21 -3.10%

Broad-based weakness across precious metals and industrial commodities may weigh on related sectors.

Currency Updates

The USD/INR pair remains stable at 95.75, showing no change from the previous session. The EUR/USD is trading at 1.17, down 0.16%.

FII/DII Activity

Institutional flows show contrasting patterns:

Date FII Net (₹ Cr) DII Net (₹ Cr)
May 14, 2026 +187.46 +684.33
May 13, 2026 -4,703.15 +5,869.05
May 12, 2026 -1,959.39 +7,990.32

Domestic institutional investors continue their strong buying streak, while foreign investors have turned positive after recent selling.

Block Deals

Significant block deals were executed yesterday:

Company Seller Buyer Shares Price (₹)
Adani Enterprises GQG Partners Emerging Markets Equity Fund SBI Mutual Fund 58,92,423 2,435.60
Jio Financial Services Goldman Sachs Bank Europe SE Morgan Stanley Asia Singapore 26,75,853 231.45
Embassy Office Parks REIT Kotak Real Estate Fund X IFSC Kotak India Commercial Real Estate Fund IFSC 1,94,26,614 421.00

Latest Updates for Block Deal Stocks

Adani Enterprises: US agencies are reportedly aiming to conclude fraud cases against Gautam Adani, according to Bloomberg. The company's Rights Issue Committee approved Reminder Notices for unpaid calls, with a payment deadline of June 10, 2026. Additionally, Uber's CEO has announced a partnership with Adani Group to establish a data center in India.

Jio Financial Services: The company, along with Allianz Europe B.V., incorporated Jio Allianz General Insurance Limited on May 12, 2026, with Jio Financial holding a 50% stake for ₹4.95 crores.

Key Global Events

Traders should monitor ongoing developments in US-China trade relations and any updates from major central banks regarding monetary policy. The commodity weakness, particularly in crude oil and metals, suggests concerns about global economic growth.

Conclusion

Today's session may see a cautious start given the negative GIFT Nifty indication and mixed global cues. While US markets provided some positive momentum, weakness in Asian indices and commodities could weigh on sentiment. The strong DII buying and recent FII inflows provide some support, though traders should watch for any developments related to the major block deal stocks, particularly Adani Enterprises given the ongoing legal developments.

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