Gold Prices Rebound as Markets Eye US Inflation Data and Fed Rate Decision
Gold prices recovered on Tuesday, with spot gold rising 0.3% to $3,355.59 per ounce and U.S. gold futures up 0.1% to $3,406.80. This follows Monday's 1.6% drop after President Trump's decision not to impose tariffs on imported gold bars. Investors are now focused on upcoming U.S. CPI data, with core CPI expected to rise 0.3%. The market anticipates a 90% probability of a Fed rate cut next month. Trump extended a pause on higher U.S. tariffs on Chinese imports and is set to meet with Putin to discuss the Ukraine war. Other precious metals also saw gains: silver up 0.6%, platinum 0.7%, and palladium 0.9%.

*this image is generated using AI for illustrative purposes only.
Gold prices staged a recovery on Tuesday, bouncing back from a sharp decline in the previous session. Spot gold edged up 0.3% to $3,355.59 per ounce, while U.S. gold futures saw a modest 0.1% increase, reaching $3,406.80.
Market Dynamics
The precious metal's upward movement comes on the heels of a significant 1.6% drop on Monday, triggered by President Trump's announcement that tariffs would not be imposed on imported gold bars. This decision had initially put pressure on gold prices, but the market has since shown resilience.
Focus on US Economic Indicators
Investors and traders are now turning their attention to the upcoming U.S. consumer price index (CPI) data, a key indicator of inflation. Economists are projecting that the core CPI will rise by 0.3%, potentially pushing the annual rate to 3% - a figure that exceeds the Federal Reserve's 2% target.
Fed Rate Cut Expectations
The market is currently pricing in a 90% probability of a Federal Reserve rate cut in the coming month. This high expectation of a rate cut is likely contributing to the renewed interest in gold, as lower interest rates typically make non-yielding assets like gold more attractive to investors.
Geopolitical Developments
Adding to the market sentiment, President Trump has extended a pause on higher U.S. tariffs on Chinese imports for an additional 90 days. This move may help ease some trade tensions that have been influencing global markets.
In a separate development, Trump is scheduled to meet with Russian President Putin on August 15 in Alaska to discuss the ongoing Ukraine war. This high-level meeting could potentially impact global geopolitical dynamics and, by extension, safe-haven assets like gold.
Performance of Other Precious Metals
The upward trend was not limited to gold alone. Other precious metals also saw gains:
Metal | Change |
---|---|
Silver | 0.6% |
Platinum | 0.7% |
Palladium | 0.9% |
These movements suggest a broader positive sentiment in the precious metals market.
As markets await the crucial U.S. inflation data and monitor geopolitical developments, gold prices are likely to remain sensitive to these factors in the short term. Investors will be closely watching how these elements unfold and their potential impact on Federal Reserve policy decisions.