India's IPO Market Faces Valuation Reality Check After Record-Breaking Run
India's IPO market enters 2026 with cautious optimism after two record-breaking years, as listing gains dropped from 30% in 2024 to 10% in 2025, indicating retail investor fatigue. Despite moderated subscription levels, demand for fresh equity remains strong due to mutual fund inflows, with experts expecting realistic pricing and quality execution to drive 2026 performance. Market analysts anticipate balanced allocation between primary and secondary markets, with domestic investor support expected to continue despite previous foreign selling pressure.

*this image is generated using AI for illustrative purposes only.
India's IPO market is transitioning into 2026 with measured expectations after experiencing an unprecedented two-year bull run that defied historical patterns. Market experts are observing a notable shift in investor behavior and pricing dynamics that could reshape the primary market landscape in the coming year.
Market Performance Shows Clear Cooling Trends
The IPO market's performance metrics reveal a significant moderation in investor enthusiasm during 2025. Key indicators demonstrate this cooling trend across multiple parameters.
| Performance Metric | 2024 | 2025 | Change |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average Listing Gains | ~30.00% | ~10.00% | -20 percentage points |
| Market Trend | Peak performance | Visible softening | Moderation |
| Subscription Intensity | High levels | Moderated levels | Decline |
Pranav Haldea, Managing Director of PRIME Database Group, emphasized the historic nature of the recent IPO cycle. "2025 was a blockbuster year, and for the first time in India's IPO history we saw two back-to-back all-time highs," Haldea stated. "Historically, you would see a peak year followed by a lull. This cycle has clearly been different."
Retail Participation Drives Market Dynamics
The surge in IPO activity has been primarily supported by retail investor participation, both through direct investments and mutual fund channels. However, signs of investor fatigue became apparent as listing gains compressed significantly.
"Retail investors largely come for listing pops, and that enthusiasm did taper in 2025," Haldea observed. Despite this moderation, he stressed that underlying demand for fresh equity offerings remains robust due to consistent mutual fund inflows. "There is only so much they can deploy in the secondary market, especially when valuations are stretched. Fresh paper is still required."
Valuation Discipline Expected to Drive 2026 Performance
Market analysts anticipate that realistic pricing strategies will be crucial for IPO success in 2026. Deven Choksey, Managing Director of DRChoksey Investment Managers, noted that market corrections have already begun addressing pricing excesses from the previous year.
"The second half of 2025 itself brought a reality check. Many companies that priced IPOs aggressively are now trading below issue price," Choksey explained. He expects 2026 to prioritize execution over excess, with quality companies adopting more conservative pricing approaches.
| Market Outlook Factors | 2026 Expectations |
|---|---|
| Pricing Strategy | More realistic valuations |
| Large-cap Stocks | Relatively reasonable valuations |
| Mutual Fund Allocation | Split between primary and secondary markets |
| Investor Focus | Quality companies with disciplined pricing |
Balanced Market Allocation Anticipated
Experts dismiss concerns about heavy IPO issuance negatively impacting secondary markets. Choksey attributed 2025's market pressure primarily to foreign selling rather than domestic IPO activity. "Domestic investors have consistently supported equities. It was foreign selling that pressured markets in 2025," he stated.
With foreign investment flows expected to stabilize and systematic investment plan (SIP) inflows maintaining strength, analysts project a more balanced allocation between new listings and existing stock investments in 2026. The pipeline for 2026 remains robust, though success will depend on maintaining sensible pricing and securing secondary market support.







































