Shkreli sees Micron closing profit gap with Nvidia next quarter
Martin Shkreli asserts Micron Technology is rapidly closing the profit gap with Nvidia Corp., forecasting higher net income for Micron next quarter due to AI-driven demand and potential gross margins of 90%. He projects $200 billion in earnings through 2027, though he warns of risks from commodity DRAM exposure and Chinese competition. Market sentiment remains mixed, with prediction markets pricing in significant volatility and Michael Burry reportedly shorting the stock.

*this image is generated using AI for illustrative purposes only.
Former hedge fund manager Martin Shkreli said Micron Technology is closing the profit gap with Nvidia Corp., arguing that the recent market selloff obscured the company's fundamental strength. Shkreli projected that Micron could generate more net income than Nvidia as early as the next quarter, driven by AI demand for high-bandwidth memory that is tightening supply for standard DRAM.
"I think they’re going to do more net income than Nvidia just even next quarter," Shkreli said during a livestream. He noted that Micron reportedly earned $28 billion last quarter against Nvidia’s $58 billion, with the gap projected to narrow to $35 billion versus $51 billion.
Projected Financials and Margins
Shkreli suggested that Micron’s gross margins may reach 90%, a level he described as "kind of nuts." His model forecasts roughly $200 billion in earnings through calendar 2027, potentially leaving the stock at around three times 2028 enterprise value. Even in a bear case where revenue halves and margins decline, he estimates Micron may still earn $100 billion.
| Metric | Micron | Nvidia |
|---|---|---|
| Last Quarter Net Income | $28 billion | $58 billion |
| Projected Next Quarter Net Income | $35 billion | $51 billion |
Market Sentiment and Risks
Despite his optimism, Shkreli acknowledged risks, noting that most of Micron’s business remains commodity DRAM, which he called "relatively easy to make," with China likely to emerge as a new supplier. Polymarket traders currently see a 54% chance the stock hits $810 this week and a 39% chance it rebounds to $990, while Kalshi data places the chance of a U.S. government stake in the company this year at 14%.
Shkreli characterized Friday’s price plunge as mechanical rather than fundamental, arguing that marginal buyers and brief distortions would soon correct the price. However, investor Michael Burry reportedly opened a short position against Micron near $1,051 earlier this month, shortly before the stock shed roughly $110 billion in market cap in a single session.
How will the emergence of China as a new supplier of commodity DRAM impact Micron's pricing power and market share over the next 12 months?
Can Micron sustain the projected 90% gross margins if supply constraints for high-bandwidth memory ease?
What specific catalysts are required for Micron to bridge the remaining gap between its projected $35 billion and Nvidia's $51 billion in net income?
































