Citigroup lowers Core & Main price target to $53

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Reviewed by
Radhika SScanX News Team
Key Highlights

Citigroup analyst Anthony Pettinari maintains a Neutral rating on Core & Main (NYSE: CNM) and lowers the price target to $53 from $54. The revision reflects a modest change in the firm's valuation outlook.

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Citigroup analyst Anthony Pettinari has maintained a Neutral rating on Core & Main (NYSE: CNM) while lowering the price target to $53 from the previous $54. The revised target indicates a modest adjustment in the valuation outlook for the company.

The decision to lower the price target comes as the firm reassesses Core & Main's position in the market. Despite the reduction, the Neutral stance suggests that the stock is expected to perform in line with the broader market expectations.

Rating and Price Target Details

The following table outlines the revised rating and price target for Core & Main:

Metric Value
Rating Neutral
Previous Price Target $54
New Price Target $53

Core & Main continues to be monitored by Citigroup as market conditions evolve. The new price target of $53 serves as the revised reference point for investors tracking the stock.

What specific market factors or internal challenges led Citigroup to reassess Core & Main's valuation outlook?

How might Core & Main's performance compare to its competitors in the current market conditions?

What potential catalysts could shift the stock from a Neutral rating to a Buy or Sell in the near future?

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Core & Main Q1 EPS beats estimates, sales outlook affirmed

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Reviewed by
Suketu GScanX News Team
Key Highlights

Core & Main reported adjusted earnings per share of $0.72 for the first quarter ended May 3, 2026, beating the analyst consensus estimate of $0.67. Net sales were $1.910 billion, and the company reaffirmed its full-year fiscal 2026 outlook, projecting net sales of $7,800 to $7,900 million and Adjusted EBITDA of $950 to $980 million.

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Core & Main reported adjusted earnings per share of $0.72 for the first quarter ended May 3, 2026, beating the analyst consensus estimate of $0.67 by 7.46%. This represents a 38.46% increase compared to earnings of $0.52 per share in the same period last year. The company reaffirmed its full-year fiscal 2026 outlook, projecting net sales of $7,800 to $7,900 million, which compares to an estimate of $7.901 billion.

Net sales for the quarter were $1.910 billion, slightly topping the analyst consensus estimate of $1.905 billion by 0.25%. Sales decreased marginally by 0.05% compared to $1.911 billion in the prior year. Net income rose 7.6% to $113 million, driven by operational efficiency and disciplined cost management.

Operational Performance

Gross profit increased 2.0% to $520 million, with the gross profit margin expanding 50 basis points to 27.2%. This expansion was primarily attributable to the execution of gross margin initiatives and disciplined purchasing and pricing management. Adjusted EBITDA increased 0.9% to $226 million, with a margin of 11.8%. Municipal demand remained healthy, supported by ongoing repair-and-replace activity and infrastructure investment, which drove double-digit growth in treatment plant solutions and high-single-digit growth in smart utility categories.

Liquidity and Capital Allocation

Net cash provided by operating activities was $82 million, an increase from $77 million in the prior year. Net debt decreased to $2,010 million from $2,276 million as of May 4, 2025, primarily due to lower borrowings on the senior asset-based revolving credit facility. As of May 3, 2026, there were no outstanding borrowings on the facility, which provides for up to $1,250 million.

Fiscal 2026 Outlook

Core & Main reaffirmed its full-year fiscal 2026 outlook issued in March 2026. The company projects net sales of $7,800 to $7,900 million, reflecting growth of 2% to 3%, and Adjusted EBITDA of $950 to $980 million.

Metric Q1 FY26 Q1 FY25 Change
Net Sales $1,910 million $1,911 million Essentially Flat
Net Income $113 million $105 million 7.6%
Diluted EPS $0.57 $0.52 9.6%
Adjusted EBITDA $226 million $224 million 0.9%
Gross Margin 27.2% 26.7% +50 bps

What specific factors will drive the projected 2% to 3% full-year sales growth given the flat performance in Q1?

How does the company plan to sustain the 50 basis point gross margin expansion throughout the remainder of the fiscal year?

Will the reduction in net debt and zero outstanding borrowings lead to increased share repurchases or M&A activity in 2026?

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