WEF Economists Flag AI Stock Bubble Risks, Predict Crypto Decline and Dollar Weakness
The World Economic Forum's latest economic survey reveals significant concerns about AI-driven market concentration, with the 'Magnificent Seven' tech firms now representing 35% of market capitalisation. While most economists expect US AI stock corrections and cryptocurrency declines, they remain optimistic about AI's productivity potential across sectors.

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The World Economic Forum's latest Chief Economists' Outlook reveals growing concerns about artificial intelligence-driven asset valuations, with a majority of economists warning of potential market corrections ahead. The quarterly report, based on 36 survey responses collected between November 19 and December 3, 2025, draws insights from leading chief economists across public and private sectors.
AI Stock Valuations Under Intense Scrutiny
The report highlights significant concentration risks in US technology markets, where the "Magnificent Seven" tech firms now represent approximately 35% of total index market capitalisation, a substantial increase from 20% in November 2022. These valuations have climbed into the top 10% of their historical distributions, raising red flags among economists.
| Market Outlook | Percentage of Economists |
|---|---|
| Expect US AI stocks to decline | 52% |
| Expect US AI stocks to rise | 40% |
| Expect spillover effects from AI stock fall | 74% |
| Expect China AI stocks to rise | 68% |
The survey reveals a stark divide in expectations for AI-related equities, particularly in the United States. While 52% of respondents anticipate declines in US AI-linked stocks over the next year, 40% foresee continued gains, highlighting significant uncertainty around pricing and long-term returns.
Cryptocurrency and Dollar Face Bearish Outlook
Cryptocurrencies emerge as the most pessimistic asset class in the survey, with nearly two-thirds (62%) of chief economists expecting further price declines following recent market turbulence. The digital asset sector faces mounting skepticism amid regulatory uncertainties and market volatility.
| Asset Class | Expect Increase | Expect Decrease | No Change |
|---|---|---|---|
| US AI stocks | 40% | 52% | 9% |
| China AI stocks | 68% | 24% | 9% |
| Cryptocurrencies | 18% | 62% | 21% |
| Gold | 46% | 31% | 23% |
| US dollar | 20% | 54% | 26% |
The US dollar also faces headwinds, with 54% of economists expecting weakness, reflecting concerns around fiscal pressures and shifting global capital flows. In contrast, gold sentiment remains mixed, with 46% expecting price increases while 31% believe the precious metal has peaked after recent rallies.
AI Productivity Gains Remain Promising
Despite valuation concerns, economists maintain optimism about artificial intelligence's productivity potential. Approximately four in five respondents expect meaningful productivity improvements within two years in both the US and China, suggesting the technology's fundamental value proposition remains intact.
The information technology sector leads adoption expectations, with nearly three-quarters of economists anticipating near-term productivity gains. Financial services, supply chains, healthcare, engineering, and retail sectors are also viewed as fast movers with one-to-two-year adoption timelines.
Large firms with over 1,000 employees are positioned to benefit sooner, with 77% of chief economists expecting meaningful gains within two years. This disparity underscores concerns that AI-driven growth may initially create uneven benefits across company sizes.
Davos Meeting to Address Economic Challenges
The findings will frame discussions at the World Economic Forum's 56th Annual Meeting, scheduled for January 19-23, 2026, in Davos-Klosters, Switzerland. Global leaders will examine these economic challenges and explore potential collaborative solutions to address market concentration risks and technological disruption.

























